The powerful mid-June storms and demand surges in central Ohio forced American Electric Power (NASDAQ:AEP) to cut power to more than 150,000 customers to prevent further system damage, the company’s top executives told Ohio regulators Wednesday.
More than 21,000 of the customers who lost power were in Columbus, prompting angry residents at the time to allege that the company balanced its system on the backs of the poor.
“I believe [circuit trips] are attributable to the storm plus the load that came on after,” explained Toby Thomas, AEP senior vice president for energy delivery. “The reason I say that is the system load was [increasing the day after the storm]. We had fewer facilities left to serve the load, and the load was increasing significantly and very quickly.”
The high winds affected 34 69-kV lines, 29 138-kV lines, one 345-kV line and 81 transmission-connected substations, according to the information the company submitted to the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio.
There are no significant generation sources in Columbus or nearby suburban communities, leaving the company few options as PJM grid managers informed AEP it would lose more of its system if it did not reduce load, Thomas said.
“The storms impacted a number of bulk electric systems throughout this state, as well as many other states,” Mike Bryson, PJM’s senior vice president of operations, told the commission. “Ohio was probably hit the worst of all the states.
“As the day [June 13] proceeded, we were in what PJM calls a hot weather alert, which is temperatures exceeding 90 degrees [Fahrenheit] in the area. AEP and Ohio were in that condition.
“Several transmission lines tripped in and around Columbus. When one of these lines goes down, other lines in the system have to carry that electricity, and if enough lines go down, the surrounding lines begin to reach or exceed their operating limit,” Bryson explained.
The RTO’s system analysis, which is constantly refigured as data on the condition of transmission lines come in, showed the remaining power lines were in jeopardy.
PJM issued a load-shed directive to AEP because of three heavily overloaded lines, Bryson said. “AEP had five minutes to implement this directive from PJM.”
PUCO staff have been ordered to review the PJM analysis, as well as the scenarios that AEP Ohio said it faced, and issue a report.
The Ohio Consumers’ Counsel has asked for an independent analysis by an independent auditor.
Continued record electric demand driven by triple-digit temperatures, 13 GW of thermal outages and reduced renewable production forced ERCOT to issue its second conservation appeal of the week Wednesday to Texans and businesses.
The Texas grid operator was expecting demand to peak at nearly 78.5 GW on Wednesday. By late morning, its supply and demand curves indicated more than a 2-GW gap during the afternoon peak between the fast-starting resources on top of the committed capacity and projected demand.
Demand eventually averaged almost 78.3 GW during the hour ending at 5 p.m. CT, falling just short of the record set Tuesday at 78.4 GW. It was the eighth record for peak demand ERCOT has set since May.
The grid operator expects demand to again exceed 78 GW on Thursday. It has peaked above 78 GW all week.
ERCOT issued its conservation appeal at 11:52 a.m. CT, asking Texans to voluntarily conserve electricity between 2 and 9 p.m. It said no outages were expected at the time.
“We want to be respectful of Texans, so we will only call for conservation if we need it,” staff said in an email to RTO Insider.
Staff said Monday’s conservation appeal successfully reduced demand by about 500 MW.
The grid operator’s operations center issued a watch because of a projected reserve capacity shortage without a market solution that could lead to an energy emergency alert. The watch, like the conservation appeal, was the second of the week. (See ERCOT Flirts with Capacity Shortage.)
“Today, there is a lot of variability,” staff said.
Dallas Forecast | WFAA-TV
ERCOT said the forced thermal outages exceeded its forecasts. It was expecting only 67 of its 80 GW of installed thermal capacity to be available during the afternoon’s tightest hour (3-4 p.m.). Wind generation was again below its historical usage, but cloud cover in West Texas initially reduced the amount of available solar generation by almost 2 GW.
Operating reserves stayed below 3 GW during much of the afternoon.
Interim ERCOT CEO Brad Jones reminded the Houston Chronicle on Tuesday that the grid operator is now calling for conservation earlier to help the grid avoid emergency conditions.
ERCOT deployed 927 MW of non-spinning reserves at 12:39 p.m. and then called on emergency response service at 2:55 p.m. shortly before physical responsive capability fell below 3 GW. That forced dispatchers to issue another advisory.
There is little respite in the future. Texas has already suffered through its hottest May and June on record and meteorologists expect more of the same through July. Heat advisories remain in effect for much of the state.
ERCOT on Monday night issued the season’s sixth operating condition notice (OCN), its lowest-level market communication, in anticipation of possible emergency conditions through Sunday. Staff expect temperatures above 103 degrees Fahrenheit in its North Central and South Central weather zones.
Prices hit four figures by 1 p.m., reaching the $5,000/MWh offer cap by 3 p.m. and $5,500/MWh heading into the hour ending at 7 p.m.
California is leading a trend of growing zero-emission truck deployments across the U.S., a new report shows.
A total of 1,895 zero-emission medium- and heavy-duty trucks were purchased and deployed across the U.S. from January 2017 to March 2022, with 1,133 of the vehicles rolled out in California, according to the report released Thursday by CALSTART, a national nonprofit focused on clean transportation technologies.
New York had the second-largest zero-emission truck deployment in that period, with 134 ZETs purchased and placed into service, followed by New Jersey and Colorado, which had 65 and 57 ZETs deployed, respectively.
The report is an update to an earlier CALSTART ZET inventory report released in January. The new report covers vehicle classes 2b to 8, which range from larger pickup trucks to big rig trucks.
Broken down by vehicle type, 742 yard tractors were purchased and deployed over the study period, making them the largest category of ZETs. That was followed by step vans, with 521 ZETs purchased and deployed.
“Zero-emission yard tractors and other vehicles with low-range requirements are dominating MHD ZET deployed sales,” the report said.
Eighty-four heavy-duty ZETs, in vehicle classes 7 and 8, were rolled out during the study period. Although some other vehicle types had a bigger number of ZETs deployed, heavy-duty ZETs had the largest average annual growth rate from 2017 through 2021, at 1,400%, according to the report.
The trend for heavy-duty ZETs is expected to continue as more manufacturers enter the market and others expand their offerings.
‘Strong Growth’ for ZETs
Although the number of ZETs is small relative to the 26 million medium- and heavy-duty trucks registered in the U.S. in 2021, ZET sales are climbing. Looking at year-over-year figures, ZET sales grew by 78% in 2018, 26% in 2019, 65% in 2020 and 155% in 2021.
“The U.S. [medium- and heavy-duty] ZET market is experiencing strong growth,” the new report said.
In addition to zero-emission trucks that are already on the road, CALSTART said in its earlier report that there were more than 140,000 pending orders for commercial ZETs awaiting fulfillment.
Some companies have announced plans to expand their ZET fleets. For example, Amazon has pledged to buy 100,000 zero-emission delivery vehicles over the next eight years, the report noted.
In June, outside the timeframe of the new report, FedEx received its first 150 electric delivery vehicles from BrightDrop, a General Motors subsidiary. The Zevo 600 vehicles were provided to FedEx Express locations in Southern California, the company said in a release.
Under an agreement between FedEx and BrightDrop, FedEx will add 2,500 Zevo 600s to its operations over the next few years. FedEx plans to move to an entirely zero-emission parcel pickup and delivery fleet by 2040.
Policy Plays a Role
California has been able to take the lead in ZET deployments in large part due to its strong ZET policies, the CALSTART report said.
California runs the Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Incentive Project (HVIP), a program that has provided $542 million to help fund the purchase of 5,337 ZETs, the report said.
In 2020, the California Air Resources Board adopted what it called a first-in-the-world rule that will require truck manufacturers to sell an increasing percentage of zero-emission trucks based on their total California sales starting in 2024.
States including Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts, New Jersey and New York have adopted California’s Advanced Clean Truck rule. And 15 states and the District of Columbia signed an agreement in 2020 to work together to accelerate truck electrification.
The clean energy transition in the U.S. is creating a grid that is increasingly distributed, increasingly digital and, therefore, increasingly vulnerable to cyberattacks.
But, according to a new report from the Atlantic Council, even as the war in Ukraine has raised concerns about Russia deploying a range of cyber disruptions to energy systems in the U.S. and Europe, “the public and private sectors lack a unified strategic framework to secure energy infrastructure against cyber threats.”
“Existing authorities intended to clarify responsibilities for cybersecurity and assign roles to the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Energy and other agencies are ambiguous in practice,” the report says. “Ambiguities and gaps in jurisdiction lead to weaker cybersecurity practices, wasted effort by government, confusion for the private sector and missed opportunities for timely information sharing that would strengthen security.”
Former DHS Secretary Michael Chertoff | Atlantic Council
At a launch event for the report on Tuesday, former Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff said the immediate need is to bring “all the tools in the toolbox together in order to make sure we have both public and private coordination and strategy in terms of protecting our infrastructure.”
Security is not “just protecting your endpoints,” Chertoff said. “It involves the way you structure your network, how you build resilience, how you respond to attacks, how you warn of attacks and how you exercise and train people.”
Chertoff, who led DHS under President George W. Bush, and retired Army Gen. Wesley Clark were co-chairs of the Atlantic Council task force that produced the report, and they opened the launch event with a fireside chat-style conversation.
Entitled, “Securing the Energy Transition Against Cyber Threats,” the report outlines a broad set of solutions rooted in a collaborative approach to the roles and responsibilities the public and private sectors each must take on to keep the country’s rapidly transforming grid secure. On the federal side, for example, the report says a strategic realignment is needed between FERC, DHS and DOE, the three federal agencies tasked with different aspects of energy system security.
While FERC and NERC set reliability standards for the bulk power system, only 10 to 20% of the U.S. electricity system falls under their jurisdiction, the report says. Distribution systems are not covered, which means the U.S. has “no single central authority for cybersecurity preparedness,” the report says, citing a 2016 report from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Ret. Gen. Wesley Clark | Atlantic Council
“The only way we’re going to fix this really is to stay on top of it,” said Clark, who served as NATO Supreme Allied Commander for Europe under President Bill Clinton. “Because not only do you have to have public attention, which the Ukraine war has helped us to develop, but what you’re bringing attention to is constantly evolving underneath as new technology emerges, new business investments are made and new threat attack vectors are developed.”
Looking to the challenges ahead, Chertoff said, “Much of the regulatory and security architecture built in the U.S. ― and frankly including NATO ― over the last few years was built episodically. The pieces don’t necessarily fit together. There’s overlap; there’s duplication; there’s even inconsistency.
“It’s really time to sit down and map out what is our strategic architecture,” he said. “What are the standards we should enforce and promote? And what are the training and planning exercises we have to engage in so we can respond quickly?”
The report’s other recommendations for government include:
updating federal policy directives to “crystallize” the role of DHS’ Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency as “leader of the national unity effort for critical infrastructure protection”;
realigning “the jurisdictional bounds of Senate and House committees to minimize areas of overlapping oversight” resulting from the multiple committees focused on different aspects of cybersecurity; and
establishing a cyber bank or low-interest cyber fund to “help qualifying companies … obtain financing at low rates ― which could also include loan forgiveness provisions tied to metrics.”
No More ‘Silver Bullets’
On the business side, the report calls for urgent “improvements in how the private sector secures its critical technologies and works with the public sector to respond to the most accurate and timely threat information.”
Former FERC Commissioner Neil Chatterjee | Atlantic Council
Speaking on a panel at the launch event, former FERC Commissioner Neil Chatterjee said, “The landscape of 21st-century warfare has evolved to such a point that now private sector companies find themselves on the frontline.” A cyberattack on critical energy infrastructure may “have the same national security, economic security impact as a military-style attack,” said Chatterjee, who is now a senior adviser at law firm Hogan Lovells.
While voluntary standards ― like ISA/IEC 62443 ― provide a good baseline for corporate efforts to ensure supply chain cybersecurity, the lack of consistent, cross-industry standards leaves open potential “attack pathways,” particularly with operational technology, the report says.
“Unable to rely on a known standard or a regulatory body, each organization must expend effort assessing its own supply chain or accept increased risk,” the report says. “Unfortunately, the energy system in the United States has never been subject to a system wherein OT products connected to the grid must meet an enforceable set of standards beyond the most rudimentary and basic principles of cybersecurity.”
Leo Simonovich, Siemens Energy | Atlantic Council
Leo Simonovich, global head of industrial cyber and digital security at Siemens Energy, agreed that “many utilities are struggling to get their hands around the issue of industrial cyber operational technologies. … But to better understand risk, you have to be able to detect, to understand your exposure, and yet many utilities today are operating blind. They don’t have the capabilities to be able to adopt many of these technologies.”
Getting advanced security systems to small and medium-sized utilities ― such as municipals and cooperatives ― should be a particular priority, Chertoff said. They are an integral part of the energy ecosystem, he said, but “they don’t have the knowledge or the economic ability to raise their level of security.”
Megan Samford, chief product security officer with Schneider Electric, pitched hard for 62443 as a possible solution to this economic and technical divide. The standard can “tell you what needs to be done at every level by the different parties invested, and it can show you over time how you could move” from very basic to more sophisticated levels of cybersecurity.
Megan Samford, Schneider Electric | Atlantic Council
The industry needs to stop chasing “silver bullets,” she said, and instead “draw a line in the sand and … say, ‘We’re going to depend on implementation of a standard, and we’re going to measure performance against the compliance of that standard.’”
But neither industry nor government can ensure system cybersecurity alone, nor should they be expected to, Clark said. Given the nature of the energy industry and the often slow pace of federal and state regulation, change is likely to be incremental, he said.
“If you’re going to put in higher standards both for IT and OT, you’re going to have to resource it,” he said. “And this means the federal government is going to have a greater responsibility to help the widely distributed participants in the power sector fund what they need to keep the country secure.”
Moving at the Speed of Attackers
On a more granular level, Simonovich said that utilities need to define “ownership of operational technology,” which is often split between “the folks who run the plants and the IT security teams.”
“One of the best things we can do is encourage defining a unified operating model between those two functions within organizations and then … develop roadmaps that drive change, not just in creating better hygiene, but also in creating a more innovative approach to driving adoption of technology,” he said.
Adrienne Lotto Walker, NYPA | Atlantic Council
State regulators and policymakers also have a critical role to play in ensuring cybersecurity is “embedded” in the policies and projects they advance, said Adrienne Lotto Walker, chief risk and resilience officer for the New York Power Authority.
“You see a lot of [requests for proposals] getting issued out of states and … a lot of policies being made at the state level that are focused on decentralizing the grid, clean energy, but they tend to be devoid of embedding cybersecurity,” Walker said. “The RFP will literally say nothing about how it’s going to be connected, what the cyber architecture will look like.”
Another major challenge is improving communication and critical information sharing on cyber threats or attacks between business and government, the report says.
“Information and threat intelligence must move at the speed of attackers,” the report says. “Unfortunately, this [information] sharing is often bogged down by a complex intragovernmental system riddled with duplicative actors and processes making it difficult, costly and inefficient for the private sector to cooperate with their government counterparts.”
Liability protection is one facet of the problem. Companies may be hesitant to share information with federal agencies, fearing “their own data might be used against them by regulators or law enforcement officials should an event occur,” the report says.
A 2002 law gives some protection to companies sharing information with DHS, but a 2015 law also gave DOE and FERC the ability to provide liability protection to energy companies sharing information with them. The government should consolidate or reconcile the protections that the different agencies can provide in a common framework, the report says.
“The purpose of information in my mind should never be information sharing for information sharing,” Samford said. “Sharing information is needed to give decision-makers maneuver room … to adjust plans; make calls; to shore up response plans,” she said. “If the war is being brought to the private sector, then there has to be a consistent framework that is used for the private sector to interact with the government.”
The New York Public Service Commission on Thursday approved electric vehicle charging programs for the state’s investor-owned utilities, enabling electrification of transportation with minimum upgrades to the grid (18-E-0138).
NYPSC Chair Rory Christian | NYDPS
The state’s EV Make-Ready initiative directed the utilities to develop managed charging programs that provide customers an alternative to home time-of-use rates.
“A one-size-fits-all approach isn’t going to meet the diverse needs of the drivers and transportation providers in New York state,” PSC Chair Rory Christian said.
“The mix of passive and active programs was made possible through some foundational investments … by utilities to deploy smart meters to collect more granular customer data. I look forward to reviewing the progress overtime that these utilities will make and seeing how the programs evolve to meet our customer needs.”
NYPSC Commissioner John B. Howard | NYDPS
The commission also approved modifying the EV rules for Consolidated Edison (NYSE:ED) to allow the utility to increase the current single-site plug limit on fast-charging stations from 10 plugs to 30 and eliminate the funding limit on certain incentives.
“In terms of EV charging writ large, there’s a right way to do this, and there’s a wrong way to do this,” Commissioner John Howard said.
“This commission for decades as a matter of policy has asked, ‘How do we reduce the peak?’ The peak is difficult and it’s enormously expensive to maintain, so the idea of moving as much [load] as we can, particularly in the early stages of electrification, to off-peak use is the only logical way to go forward.”
Transmission Upgrades
The commission also approved nearly $700 million for National Grid (NYSE:NGG) to develop 26 transmission upgrade projects in support of the state’s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA). It was the first utility petition driven by the Accelerated Renewable Energy Growth and Community Benefit Act (20-E-0197).
The PSC categorized transmission projects that satisfy traditional reliability purposes and also address bottlenecks or constraints that limit the deliverability of renewable energy as phase 1, while phase 2 projects comprise upgrades that are needed solely to support CLCPA objectives.
NYPSC Commissioner Diane X. Burman | NYDPS
The transmission projects for National Grid subsidiary Niagara Mohawk Power include substation equipment capacity upgrades, installation of larger transformers, rebuilds of existing transmission lines and installation of a dynamic line rating system to allow higher capacity operation during certain times. While 19 projects are relatively small and total about $38 million, seven other projects are more involved, such as the rebuild of century-old 115-kV lines — notably 126 miles of parallel lines in the Mohawk Valley from Little Falls to Schenectady.
“These items are here as a direct result of the directive of the Accelerated Renewable Energy Growth Act, and the investments identified will serve to do just that: accelerate the deployment and growth of renewable energy,” Christian said. “Once complete, the need to curtail existing renewable energy resources will be diminished while making room to add additional renewable resources to the grid, and as an added bonus, this will reduce congestion in the overall transmission system and improve reliability to customers throughout the region.”
Commissioner Diane Burman voted against the proposal, saying she was concerned that the commission had just this year approved a three-year rate plan for National Grid.
“I have real concerns about how rigorously the accounting for today’s projects will be kept separate from the accounting for the rate case projects,” Burman said. “I have concerns with how the company may reprioritize funding among both sets and whether that is truly coming before us. That action can have detrimental results on ratepayers if not done right.”
Elizabeth Grisaru, NYDPS | NYDPS
Elizabeth Grisaru, deputy director of the Department of Public Service’s Office of Electric Gas and Water, described the treatment of these projects as part of “a narrow exception” to the rule established for phase 1 projects.
“They were not required to identify local transmission investments that contributed to CLCPA guideline deadlines; it was not part of their planning obligation prior to February 2021, and I think that’s probably why in the mix of capital programs that were part of the last National Grid rate case, these projects were not there because planning for CLCPA investment was not a component of the utilities’ planning obligation before that date,” Grisaru said.
Howard said that while there’s enough regulatory assets to pay for the Niagara Mohawk upgrades, “this is not done in a vacuum. We still have Tier I expenses coming in; we have Tier III, Tier IV, phase 2 expenses that we don’t know what they are. We have potential offshore wind integration, dealing particularly with a very large billion-dollar project in New York City. These things sound modest, but don’t think that that’s all you’re going to pay for transmission, because there’s a lot of other money that the customers will have to pony up to make these capital expenses.” (See Stakeholders Question CLCPA Pace and Costs for New York.)
Invenergy says it will increase the planned Grain Belt Express transmission line’s capacity to deliver 25% more power than originally planned, but at an additional multi-billion-dollar cost.
Chicago-based developer Invenergy Transmission said in a Monday press release that it will increase the 800-mile HVDC Grain Belt Express total capacity to 5 GW. It said the bump will deliver more energy cost savings to Missouri, Illinois and the Midwest. The expansion increases the project’s investment to $7 billion, up from an estimated $2.5 billion earlier this year.
Missouri will see the largest delivery increases after the project’s mid-point converter station is expanded from 500 MW to 2.5 GW. Invenergy plans to move the substation and add a 40-mile delivery line, dubbed the Grain Belt Express Tiger Connector.
Invenergy said the changes are necessary to reach an existing substation that is robust enough to handle large injections of power.
Using an analysis from PA Consulting Group, the developer estimates the beefed-up merchant line will save ratepayers in Missouri and Illinois a total $7.5 billion over 15 years. Kansas ratepayers are expected to realize a $1-billion savings over the same time frame.
Invenergy said it will pursue “all required regulatory approvals related to facility changes” and will hold an open house later this month to discuss Tiger Connector route options and seek input from landowners. The company said it is “committed to building transmission infrastructure the right way — treating landowners with respect and fairness.”
The utility said that the line’s route, right of way and facility design remains unchanged, and development will begin according to existing regulatory approvals.
Invenergy spokesperson Dia Kuykendall said the company plans to begin construction in 2024 and achieve commercial operations sometime in 2027.
“As families and businesses face rising costs and power grid operators sound the alarm about regional reliability challenges, Invenergy Transmission is proud to be delivering solutions,” said Shashank Sane, Invenergy’s executive vice president and head of transmission. “By increasing total power delivery for the Grain Belt Express and ensuring an equal share is available locally, this state-of-the-art transmission infrastructure project will save families and businesses billions of dollars in electric costs each year, protect our communities by improving reliability, and power prosperity across the Midwest well into the future.”
The 800-mile transmission line is intended to carry wind power from western Kansas through Missouri and Illinois to the Indiana border. It has faced significant resistance in Missouri, which initially denied permits. (See Invenergy Renewing Push for Grain Belt Express.)
But things are looking up for the long-stalled project.
Last month, Missouri Governor Mike Parson signed legislation requiring line developers to pay landowners 150% of fair market value for land taken through eminent domain. The final House Bill 2005 was viewed as a compromise among Missouri lawmakers; it guarantees farmers more money for their parcels but doesn’t require transmission developers to seek approval from individual county commissions for their lines.
Texas-based Clean Line Energy Partners first proposed construction of the Grain Belt Express in 2014 but was met with opposition, delay and litigation over eminent domain for the segment of line crossing Missouri. Invenergy acquired the project in 2019. A year later, disputes over the line’s development reached the Missouri Supreme Court, which ruled that the Missouri regulators erred when they denied Grain Belt a certificate of convenience and necessity.
Illinois and Missouri business leaders applauded Invenergy’s decision, including the Associated Industries of Missouri, the Illinois Manufacturers’ Association and the Missouri Public Utility Alliance. They said the line stands to stimulate billions of dollars in economic activity in Illinois and Missouri and millions in “new taxes and revenue for local communities along the route.”
“Grain Belt Express’s additional commitment to deliver more power to Missouri could not have come at a better time for businesses in our region who are facing increased risk for outages and higher energy bills due to more demand and less energy production,” Ray McCarty, CEO of Associated Industries of Missouri, said in a joint press release with his Illinois counterparts. “Bringing more power to the region is the best solution to manage this urgent challenge, and we thank Grain Belt Express for responding to those needs.”
Illinois Manufacturers’ Association CEO Mark Denzler said “manufacturers and the communities they support across our region will see significant benefits thanks to this essential investment.”
“You can’t have a strong business climate if manufacturers are worried about the reliability and cost of their power supply. There’s no question,” Denzler said.
Despite consternation over the state of New England’s grid in the winter, ISO-NE sees no viable option for an out-of-market solution it could enact this year, officials told a stakeholder committee this week.
After about a month of reviewing its options, during which the grid operator looked at reviving two previously enacted winter programs, the recommendation to take no action leaves the region hoping for a mild winter.
ISO-NE had considered bringing back the Winter Reliability Program or starting the Inventoried Energy Program a year early. (See ISO-NE Weighs Reviving Reliability Programs for this Winter). But its analysis found that both of those programs carried cons and costs that would outweigh their potential benefits, the RTO told the Markets Committee in New Hampshire this week.
“Neither [program] is expected to provide significant benefits under extreme weather conditions, as their incremental reliability benefits are minimal given prevailing market conditions,” ISO-NE said in its presentation to the MC.
The Winter Reliability Program, which compensates resources for their unused fuel at the end of winter, would cost an estimated $170 million, nearly seven times as much as it cost when it was last used in 2017-2018. That includes what the RTO called “speculative” benefits, because there are already strong incentives for generators to maintain oil inventory even without the program in place.
The Inventoried Energy Program, which compensates resources for up to three days of inventoried energy that can be converted to electricity, has been approved for the 2023-2025 winters but will have to be changed subject to a recent court ruling. (See Court Strikes a Blow to ISO-NE Winter Plan.) It would cost an estimated $157 million and also carries questionable benefits.
Stockpiling Fuel
So with those options off the table, ISO-NE is hoping that cold weather doesn’t strain the system. A mild winter, like last year’s, would be manageable for the grid operator to get through, with no capacity deficiencies or load-shed events, the officials said.
A moderate winter, like in 2017-2018, could cause ISO-NE to rely on capacity deficiency procedures, laid out in OP-4. An extreme case, with sustained cold weather, could lead to load shedding and rolling blackouts.
A key question is whether generators will have enough on-site fuel this winter. Currently, New England’s fuel oil inventory is about 81 million gallons, a third of its storage capacity, ISO-NE said. But generators are expected to replenish their stores up to about 110 million gallons, with many of them waiting until fall as prices are expected to decrease by then.
LNG availability is also expected to be about the same as recent years, ISO-NE said.
In the event of fuel shortages, ISO-NE said it has a few levers it can pull, including asking for waivers of the Jones Act, emissions rules and hours-of-service restrictions for drivers carrying fuel. It could also ask the government to activate military staff or equipment to help move fuel.
And, as has been heavily used in Texas this week, the grid operator could ask customers to help with emergency conservation measures.
Looking Forward
“Energy adequacy will continue to be a concern beyond this winter because of limited infrastructure and vulnerability to large source-loss contingencies, which short-term programs will not address,” ISO-NE said in its presentation.
FERC’s September forum in Vermont will continue to address those issues, helping to “better inform the future longer-term solution space,” the grid operator said.
Work is also underway on a study with the Electric Power Research Institute looking at the operational impacts of extreme weather.
The Wisconsin Supreme Court last week ruled that a former state regulator’s encrypted messages with power line developers did not amount to a serious risk of bias during the controversial Cardinal-Hickory Creek line’s permitting process.
In a 4-3 opinion July 7, the court’s conservative majority undercut a lawsuit brought by conservation groups that challenged the line’s permitting process before regulators in 2019. The court ruled that former Wisconsin Public Service Commissioner Mike Huebsch does not have to testify or turn over his phone after he used a software app to exchange covert messages with an American Transmission Co. (ATC) employee and a former independent contractor for ITC Midwest.
ATC and ITC Midwest, the project’s co-owners, last year uncovered evidence of years’ worth of encrypted messages between Huebsch and their employees. As a result, the companies redid the project’s certificate of public convenience and necessity to avoid improprieties. (See Former Wis. Commissioner’s Texts Imperil Cardinal-Hickory Creek Line.)
The court kept its decision focused on Huebsch’s conduct and didn’t address the merits of the PSC’s unanimous approval of the $500 million, 101-mile, 345-kV Cardinal-Hickory Creek line. It said Huebsch didn’t violate the line’s opponents’ due process and rejected the conservation groups’ subpoena for an inspection of Huebsch’s cellphone.
The court also said a lower court erred when it rejected Huebsch’s motion to quash the subpoena. It remanded the case back to the Dane County Circuit Court.
Penning the majority’s opinion, Chief Justice Patience Roggensack said the Driftless Area Land Conservancy (DALC) “allegations of bias do not come close to the level of alleging a cognizable due process claim.” The high court described the accusations of bias against Huebsch as “meritless,” based on “absolutely no factual evidence” and “borderline frivolous.” It said that public servants are presumed impartial unless there’s solid evidence to the contrary.
Conservative justices also said that the nation needs strengthened interstate transmission and said Cardinal-Hickory Creek enjoys “widespread support from labor, industry, business groups, environmentalists, Republicans and Democrats.”
Howard Learner, executive director of the Environmental Law and Policy Center, represents conservation groups DALC and the Wisconsin Wildlife Federation in the fight against the line. He said he was disappointed that the state supreme court “overreached in holding that Wisconsin law prevents conservation and consumer groups from taking discovery into the hundreds of phone calls, secret text messages, lunches, dinners and golf dates between … Huebsch and senior executives for the transmission companies that proposed this costly high-voltage transmission line.”
“Allowing these kinds of improper communications without any recourse under state law undermines public confidence in the fairness and integrity of Wisconsin’s utility regulatory process,” he said in an emailed statement to RTO Insider.
Learner said he agreed with the court’s liberal minority and said the four conservative justices “bent the judicial rules to provide special treatment in protecting improper conduct by their political ally.”
The liberal justices wrote in a dissent that “if our government is truly one of laws and not men and women, then we cannot use extraordinary constitutional powers to carve out special treatment for ourselves and only persons like us.” They said the majority justices’ “indulgence in the excesses of judicial power is not grounded in law and serves only to deepen inequalities in our system of justice.”
ATC and ITC issued a statement saying they appreciated the Supreme Court’s “thoughtful decision.” They celebrated the end of a “contrived fishing expedition that the project’s opponents orchestrated against former Commissioner Huebsch.”
“With the case now remanded back to the Dane County Circuit Court, the co-owners look forward to successfully concluding the litigation on the merits of the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin’s September 2019 decision to approve the project,” ATC and ITC said in an emailed statement.
Huebsch’s attorney Ryan Walsh told Wisconsin Public Radio that the ruling makes clear that there “shouldn’t be fact-finding into the personal lives of judges and judicators without rock-solid evidence that something inappropriate has happened.” Walsh said the decision ended a yearslong “cloud” hanging over his client.
Learner pointed out that the line is still set to cut through a protected wildlife refuge. A federal judge earlier this year blocked construction of the line through Upper Mississippi River National Fish and Wildlife Refuge. (See Federal Judge: Tx Line Can’t Cross Wildlife Refuge.)
ATC and ITC are appealing that decision before an appeals panel this fall. In the meantime, the companies continue to clear-cut the original route up to the protected refuge area. ATC and ITC report that they have nearly completed a segment in Iowa and are continuing construction in western Wisconsin.
With the matter of Huebsch’s texts decided at the state level, the DALC vowed to continue the fight against the project at the federal level.
Learner said a “fair review of the evidence will show that there are better, more cost-effective, more environmentally sound, and more flexible alternatives for reliable clean energy in the Wisconsin Driftless Area.”
ATC and ITC estimate that 127 renewable generation projects comprising about 19 GW of capacity are currently dependent on the line’s completion.
“Utilities across our region are depending on the Cardinal-Hickory Creek project to facilitate the region’s transition away from fossil fuels and support decarbonization goals,” the companies said. “The critical role of this project in meeting the region’s energy needs compels the co-owners to ensure it is built for the benefit of electric consumers by the scheduled in-service date of December 2023.”
The Cardinal-Hickory Creek line is the last of MISO’s $6.7 billion, 17-project Multi-Value Project portfolio approved in 2011.
Mario Cilento, president of the New York AFL-CIO, spoke Monday to the state’s Climate Action Council as a new member and the first member representing organized labor.
“This council has been working for two years without labor representation … and it is incumbent upon me to share labor’s unequivocal goal in this process, and that is simply this: to combat climate change while protecting workers,” Cilento said.
Gov. Kathy Hochul said in March that she planned to appoint a labor representative to the council and announced Cilento as its newest member in early May.
Cilento said the council’s work should ensure a commitment to workers “in the most concrete and enforceable terms” to ensure that new jobs created by the climate and energy transition are “good union jobs.” And any worker that loses a job from that transition, he said, must “promptly, if not immediately” be re-employed “at the same rate of pay or greater.”
He called for estimates on new job creation and job losses identified in the council’s draft scoping plan to be more specific. The council’s study of the jobs needed to counter climate change — with a focus on buildings, fuels, electricity, transportation and lands — found that through 2030, 21 subsectors will add 211,000 jobs, and seven subsectors will experience “displacement of 22,000 jobs.”
“The intangible nature of projected job creation is somewhat understandable, but job loss is fully and completely tangible, particularly to those who know that their livelihoods, their ability to support themselves and their families is at risk and most likely finite,” he said.
To better understand estimates for jobs created and lost, he said the council should ensure more detail is provided on rate of pay, benefits, work locations, skills, responsibilities, and the employers that will create and eliminate jobs. Of the 211,000 new jobs employers could create through 2030, the council’s study said half were identified in the buildings sector, while about half of the job losses were at conventional fueling stations.
All jobs data related to the transition also should be tracked and updated at least every six months, according to Cilento.
For those jobs that are created, he added, workers need “robust” organizing rights and protections.
“All projects moving forward should include language that specifically calls for labor peace and project labor agreements, prevailing rate, buy American, buy New York and worker training funding,” he said.
While the council’s Just Transition Working Group has addressed labor concerns for the draft scoping plan, Cilento said it is necessary to “build on that work with as specific and definitive measures as possible.”
“The labor movement intends to be a committed partner in this historic endeavor … and I do strongly believe that anticipating and addressing as many of [labor’s] concerns as possible during this process will increase the [Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act’s] likelihood of long-term success,” he said.
The council accepted public comments on its draft scoping plan through July 1 and will review comments this summer before proposing approaches to address them in the final scoping plan due in January.
As ISO-NE starts moving forward with its work to update resource capacity accreditation rules in New England, the region’s energy stakeholders are urging it to cast a wide net and not commit to an approach too soon.
The grid operator in the last few weeks has said it’s leaning toward a marginal approach to capacity accreditation, using a concept called Marginal Reliability Impact (MRI). That’s in contrast to an average approach that accredits resources based on their share of their class’s total reliability contribution. (See ISO-NE Starts its Capacity Accreditation Journey.)
At this week’s NEPOOL Markets Committee meeting, Advanced Energy Economy warned ISO-NE not to rush into a decision, highlighting challenges with the marginal approach and advocating for broader consideration.
“Marginal accreditation is a novel approach and presents potential challenges as a replacement to the current capacity accreditation regime,” AEE’s Caitlin Marquis said in a presentation to the committee.
Among those challenges: It could result in different compensation to resources that provide the same total reliability benefit to the system and be more sensitive to accurate modeling of the region’s resource mix.
Also, even though the marginal method is often cited as having clearer entry and exit signals for resources, Marquis said, accurate signals don’t always facilitate efficient decisions if they’re still highly variable.
“Average versus marginal is a significant decision that should not be rushed; before moving forward with marginal, we should fully consider challenges and address shortcomings,” Marquis said in her presentation.
That could include exploring alternative or hybrid approaches, she said.
Also at the meeting, Ben Griffiths of LS Power raised concerns about the ability of a marginal accreditation method, which is an effective load-carrying capability (ELCC) measurement, to accurately measure the contributions of thermal resources.
“Proposals to apply ELCC-like accreditation mechanisms to thermal resources can obscure economic choices and may solidify the status quo by muting price signals,” Griffiths said in his presentation.
ELCC works for variable renewables because their performance is mostly determined by factors outside their control, Griffiths said. That’s not the case for thermal resources, which are more governed by economic conditions and operational choices, he argued.
The “class-based ELCC/MRI approach necessarily lumps good and poor performers into one class, which reduces downside risk for poor performers, and limits accreditation value for good ones,” Griffiths said. A preferable approach would be to refine a unit-specific accreditation method like PJM’s unforced capacity, which he said is a “reasonable starting point.”
ISO-NE is still early in what will be a yearlong-plus process of developing an update to capacity accreditation.
At the meeting this week, the RTO’s Feng Zhao put forward new details about how its conceptual design for an MRI would work, with a promise of more design information to come in the next few months.
