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December 21, 2024

NERC Warns Challenges ‘Mounting’ in Coming Decade

In its 2024 Long-Term Reliability Assessment (LTRA) published Dec. 17, NERC warned that large parts of the North American grid face “mounting resource adequacy challenges over the next 10 years” because of “surging demand growth” coupled with continued retirement of thermal generators. 

“We are experiencing a period of profound change, one that represents both some promise but also some challenges,” John Moura, NERC’s director of reliability assessments and planning analysis, said in a media call accompanying the release of the assessment. “We’re seeing demand growth like we haven’t seen in decades. …  

“From the electric industry perspective, that growth is exciting; it’s a signal of innovation and economic momentum. But as we all know, growth must be met with reliability readiness.” 

The ERO recommended that resource planners, market operators and regulators “carefully manage” future generator deactivations and ensure that essential reliability services are maintained as the grid transitions to new energy resources. 

In the assessment, NERC found that most of the grid faces either high or elevated risk of energy shortfalls from 2025 to 2029. High risk indicates that shortfalls are likely to occur under normal peak summer or winter conditions, while elevated risk means shortfalls can occur during extreme weather such as wide-area heat waves or deep freeze events. 

MISO is the only area recorded as high risk, with shortfalls possible as early as 2025. The assessment noted that retirements of coal-fired generation have combined with “slower-than-anticipated resource additions since the 2023 LTRA” to cause “a sharp [projected] decline in anticipated resources beginning next summer.” Also contributing to the potential shortfall is a rise in forecasted peak demand in 2026 and afterward. 

SPP faces potential shortfalls in 2025 as well, although this region is rated as an elevated risk rather than high; NERC said demand may outstrip supply during times of low wind and natural gas supplies. ERCOT, PJM, SaskPower and New England all face shortfalls beginning in 2026; Ontario and British Columbia in 2027; and California, Manitoba Hydro and SERC-East (comprising North and South Carolina) in 2028.  

SERC Central and Southeast, WECC-Alberta, WECC-Northwest, WECC-Southwest and the Northeast Power Coordinating Council’s Quebec, Maritimes and New York subregions were all assessed as normal risk, meaning they “are expected to have sufficient resources under a broad range of assessed conditions.” 

A large part of the generation shortfall in high- or elevated-risk areas is the result of retiring resources, NERC said. While the assessment found that the grid possessed over 8 GW more generation in 2024 than in 2023 — rising to 1,048 GW overall — most of this growth came from solar and battery hybrid facilities, which added more than 17 GW of capacity in all. Conversely, the share of generation coming from coal plants declined by over 8 GW, with petroleum generation falling by more than 1 GW as well. 

NERC Manager of Reliability Assessments Mark Olson observed that not only has traditional generation continued to fall as a share of the overall mix, but new resources have also come onto the grid slower than predicted in last year’s LTRA. The amount of solar generation that came online in 2024 was 14 GW lower than expected, he said, raising concerns that generation may fail to keep pace with surging demand from rapid growth in data centers and industrial applications. 

One “bright spot” in this year’s LTRA, as Olson put it, was the development of transmission, with 28,275 miles of projects over 100 kV in construction or in stages of development for the next 10 years. This represents significantly more than projected in the 2023 LTRA (18,675 miles) and above the average of 18,900 miles per 10-year period published in the last five LTRAs. 

This year’s LTRA found 28,275 miles of transmission projects of at least 100 kV, greater than last year’s LTRA. However, the increase is mostly in projects in the planning or conceptual phases, rather than in construction. | NERC

Olson cautioned that so far, the new projects represented by this year’s LTRA are for the most part not actually under construction but in the planning or conceptual phases. He said that “siting and permitting issues” are a major cause of delay for over 1,200 miles of transmission projects. 

Jim Matheson, CEO of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, said in a statement that the LTRA represented “a grim picture of our nation’s energy future.” Matheson repeated his request in a letter to President-elect Donald Trump earlier in December to help ensure that energy projects are built “efficiently … and at reasonable cost.” 

“This report points directly to the need for a pro-energy policy agenda that prioritizes reliability and affordability for American families and businesses,” Matheson said. “We urge President Trump and congressional leaders to prioritize reliability right out of the gate next year before it’s too late.” 

Todd Snitchler of the Electric Power Supply Association highlighted the LTRA’s demand growth projections, warning the grid urgently needs investment in new resources and a resource planning approach that can support the volume of work that will be needed. 

“While past policy and regulatory approaches have put pressure on markets and power developers, resulting in supply imbalances, higher prices and reliability concerns, now is the time for all stakeholders, decision-makers and market participants to come to the table and find collaborative approaches to meet the urgent need at hand,” Snitchler said. “EPSA continues to highlight the importance of policies and market decisions that support Americans’ access to the dispatchable resources needed for reliability.” 

DOE Offers $15B Loan to PG&E to Support Reliability Goals

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Loan Programs Office offered a conditional $15 billion loan to Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) to support the California-based utility’s energy infrastructure and clean energy initiatives, the agency announced Dec. 17.

The conditional loan, which is not yet finalized, would provide federal funds for PG&E’s operation of its hydroelectric fleet, expansion of battery storage, enhancements to the utility’s transmission systems and the enablement of virtual power plants in PG&E’s service area, the agency said in an announcement.

“Investments in a clean and resilient grid for northern and central California will have significant returns for our customers in safety, reliability and economic growth,” PG&E’s CEO Patti Poppe said in a statement. “The DOE loan program can help us accelerate the pace and impact of this work, which supports thousands of living wage jobs, at a lower cost to our customers.”

The utility said funding the projects “could save customers up to $1 billion net present value over the life of the financing, while paying for critical investments in safety and reliability to serve customers.”

The loan is the second LPO investment made under the office’s Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment program, funded by the Inflation Reduction Act. On Dec. 12, the LPO announced a conditional $2.5 billion loan under the program to Wisconsin Electric Power Co., a subsidiary of the Milwaukee-based WEC Energy Group.

More announcements could be on the way. The LPO has a pipeline of $139.2 billion in applications under the Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment program across 47 applications located in every region of the country.

Commenting on the announcement in a newsletter, investment bank Jefferies said the loan “is a positive development” but added that “the receipt of funds could hinge on the Trump Administration.”

“It remains to be seen what portion of the $15 billion, eligible to be drawn through 2031, the utility is ultimately able to access,” the investment bank said.

However, speaking at the U.S. Energy Association’s Advanced Energy Technology Showcase on Dec. 12, LPO Director Jigar Shah said conditional and final loans should be safe from any claw-back attempts by the incoming Trump administration. Existing LPO loan contracts were honored during President-elect Donald Trump’s previous four years in the White House, and conditional commitments are signed contracts.

The conditional loan to PG&E is subject to certain conditions that both the utility and the DOE must meet before the department can authorize the loan to be funded.

PG&E submitted its loan application to LPO in June 2023. The money would support PG&E’s 61 hydropower powerhouses that produce more than 3.8 GW. Additionally, the utility, which has 4.2 GW of battery storage under contract, would use part of the loan to fund further expansions of battery storage, PG&E said in a news release.

The utility’s transmission infrastructure would see enhancements to help reduce congestion and improve reliability. The loan would also allow PG&E to “integrate more renewable energy and demand management by deploying and interconnecting [virtual power plants],” according to the news release.

The $15 billion comes after the utility received blame for a series of California wildfires starting in 2015. The fires included the 2018 Camp Fire, which leveled the town of Paradise, killed 84 people and drove PG&E to file for bankruptcy reorganization in January 2019.

WestTEC Committee Considers Scenarios in Transmission Study

Stakeholders on Dec. 12 said they are inching closer to developing the scenarios that will inform the Western Transmission Expansion Coalition’s (WestTEC) transmission planning study.

John Muhs, a senior consultant with Energy Strategies and member of the WestTEC Scenario Planning Subcommittee, said during a webinar that the group has decided on a set of drivers that will underpin the development of the scenarios in the study. The drivers include changes in the regulatory landscape, technology costs and supply chains.

“The general idea is that we view these drivers as a lens through which to develop, you know, key points of a future scenario narrative,” Muhs said.

The WestTEC study, jointly facilitated by Western Power Pool and WECC, will address long-term interregional transmission needs across the Western Interconnection. The WestTEC Steering Committee unanimously approved the project’s study plan in September. (See WestTEC Committee OKs Plan for ‘Actionable’ Tx Study.)

The study is expected to take place over the next two years. The goal is to produce transmission portfolios for 10- and 20-year planning horizons. In addition to enhancing Western reliability, the portfolios will also factor in economic efficiencies and state policy goals.

The study will include a reference case that considers current trends, policies and projections in transmission planning. In addition, the scenario planning subcommittee will develop two separate cases to reflect alternative potential future developments, according to the study plan.

Being able to compare and understand transmission needs across the three scenarios “will be a key outcome of the WestTEC study,” Muhs said.

Members of the subcommittee will develop scenarios over the holidays. The committee will refine those ideas through March 2025, when approval of the planning scenarios and completion of the 20-year resource plan is expected. The 10-year horizon transmission assessment and report should be done in August 2025, according to the presentation.

SPP Names COO Nickell to Replace Sugg as CEO

SPP’s Board of Directors said Dec. 17 it has selected COO Lanny Nickell as its next CEO, effective April 1.

Nickell will replace CEO Barbara Sugg following a three-month transition period. Sugg announced her retirement in August after 27 years with SPP. (See SPP’s Sugg Announces Retirement from RTO.)

Armed with 28 years of experience with SPP, Nickell said he was “deeply honored” to be selected to “serve the organization I’ve been proud to call home.”

“I’m grateful to have had the opportunity to learn from and work alongside Barbara for as long as I have, and I’m grateful for her visionary leadership,” Nickell said in a press release. “SPP’s mission of ensuring reliable electric service for millions of consumers remains my driving passion. I look forward to building on our strong foundation and continuing to work diligently with our stakeholders to meet our future challenges.”

“Lanny brings unparalleled experience, deep organizational knowledge and a passion for the organization’s stakeholder culture,” board Chair John Cupparo said. “His leadership will ensure we continue to deliver on SPP’s mission and successfully navigate the generational challenges confronting our industry, region and organization.”

Nickell joined SPP from Central and South West Corp., now American Electric Power, in 1997. He was quickly promoted to the management team and was named vice president of operations in 2008 and vice president of engineering in 2011. Nickell was promoted to COO in 2020.

His promotion to CEO continues SPP’s tradition dating back to the 1970s, when its headcount stood at 14, of hiring its leaders from within. Sugg was named CEO in 2020, replacing Nick Brown, who replaced John Marschewski in 2003. SPP became an RTO in 2004.

Sugg told RTO Insider she plans to spend more time with her two grandchildren and take care of her elderly mother.

“It’s been an honor to lead this organization through a transformative period of growth and maturation. I’m deeply grateful for the opportunity, and I’m thrilled to pass the reins to Lanny, a trusted colleague and partner whose leadership will undoubtedly take the company to new heights,” she said a statement.

Nickell holds a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering from the University of Tulsa and is a graduate of Harvard Business School’s Advanced Management Program.

Company Briefs

Eversource Credit Ratings Downgraded

S&P Global Ratings downgraded the credit ratings of a pair of Eversource Energy subsidiaries. 

Eversource’s electric distribution company, Connecticut Light & Power, was downgraded from an “A” to an “A-” while the company’s natural gas subsidiary, Yankee Gas, saw its rating drop from an “A-” to “BBB.” 

With the credit ratings, S&P cited a negative regulatory environment for Connecticut utilities because of PURA rulings that have either dramatically reduced or eliminated requested rate increases. 

More: CT Insider 

BP Forms OSW Joint Venture with Japan’s JERA

BP and Japanese power generator JERA announced that they have agreed to a 50-50 joint venture called JERA Nex bp. 

The companies said they will pool together almost all their operating assets and development projects with a potential capacity of 13 GW. The partners have agreed to provide up to $5.8 billion in funding for projects approved by the joint venture by 2030, with BP contributing up to $3.25 billion and JERA paying up to $2.55 billion. 

More: Business Standard 

CenterPoint Energy Announces Senior Leadership Changes

CenterPoint Energy last week announced several senior leadership changes that will take effect on Jan. 1, 2025. 

The changes include the appointments of Richard C. Leger as senior vice president of CenterPoint’s multi-state gas business and Bertha Villatoro as senior vice president and chief human resources officer. Leger has served in his current role on an interim basis since July 2024. 

Lynne Harkel-Rumford, who currently serves as executive vice president and chief human resources officer, will retire Feb. 3, 2025. 

More: CenterPoint Energy 

State Briefs

CALIFORNIA 

PUC Delays Vote on Aliso Canyon Closure

The Public Utilities Commission last week issued an order to extend the deadline to vote on a proposed closure plan for Southern California Gas’ Aliso Canyon natural gas storage facility until March 31. 

The PUC said it needed to ensure it had “ample time to thoughtfully deliberate on the proposed decision and address any unexpected issues in that process.” 

The PUC was set to vote Dec. 19 on a plan to consider eventually shutting down the facility. 

More: E&E News 

COLORADO 

Denver Modifying GHG Rules After Landlord Protests

Denver’s climate change and energy officials said they will modify a set of greenhouse gas reduction rules for big buildings after challenges from landlords. 

Like state rules covering large buildings, Denver in 2021 passed “Energize Denver,” with a target of 30% cuts to buildings’ “energy use intensity” by 2030 and net zero on carbon in 2040. The city law, which started in 2023, requires owners of large buildings to get extensive energy audits and return with plans to reduce energy use and carbon output against a 2021 benchmark.  

Denver officials agreed to keep negotiating with the property owners, and issued a revised set of rules they say eases the timelines for the audits and the required targets. 

More: The Colorado Sun 

INDIANA 

Federal Judge Blocks Law Giving In-state Utilities First Dibs on Projects

Chief Judge Tonya Walton Pratt blocked a state law passed in 2023 that gives the major utilities the right of first refusal for electric transmission projects. 

House Enrolled Act 1420 changed state code to allow utilities first dibs on transmission projects that are approved by MISO. 

“HEA 1420, though not a complete ban on out-of-state transmission owners, erects a barrier to the interstate electric transmission market by limiting who can compete for new construction projects in Indiana,” Pratt wrote. “The right of first refusal in favor of Indiana incumbents runs contrary to the Supreme Court’s admonition that ‘States cannot require an out-of-state firm to become a resident in order to compete on equal terms.’” 

More: Indianapolis Star 

Gov.-elect Braun Taps Jaworowski for Energy Secretary

Gov.-elect Mike Braun last week named Suzanne Jaworowski — an electricity system official who previously worked for President-elect Donald Trump — as his pick for energy and natural resources secretary. 

Jaworowski will oversee the Department of Natural Resources, Department of Environmental Management, Utility Regulatory Commission and several other agencies. 

Jaworowski was most recently the executive director of stakeholder services for MISO. She previously spent time as an energy consultant and made an unsuccessful bid for Indiana House in 2022. 

More: Indiana Capital Chronicle 

MARYLAND 

Commission Votes to Study Ways to Pay for Climate Plan

The Commission on Climate Change last week adopted amendments to the state’s original climate plan recommendations for generating revenues that instead call for studies on how those proposals could be implemented. 

Last year a state environmental agency calculated that it would cost Maryland at least $10 billion to meet the government climate mandates. Instead of recommending a cap-and-invest program, the commissioners unanimously accepted an amendment proposed by Environment Secretary Serena McIlwain that would instead urge the legislature to authorize a study of how a cap-and-invest program would be implemented, how it would impact consumers and how much revenue it might generate. 

The recommendation also suggests the legislature direct the DOE to establish a rule that would require fossil fuel companies in the state to annually report their greenhouse emissions beginning in 2027. 

More: Maryland Matters 

MINNESOTA 

CenterPoint Reaches Settlement on Gas Rates

CenterPoint Energy last week filed a settlement with the Public Utilities Commission that will raise residential gas rates by 5.2%. 

The increase equals about $50 per year for most customers compared to 2023 levels. CenterPoint initially requested a 10.3% increase. 

The settlement will also slash the amount in membership dues CenterPoint can pass onto customers for belonging to organizations that lobby on behalf of the natural gas industry. 

More: Sahan Journal 

NEW JERSEY

Assembly Committee Approves Delay of Clean-truck Rule

The Assembly Transportation and Independent Authorities Committee last week unanimously voted to advance a bill that would delay by two years implementation of the Advanced Clean Truck rule, which was set to go into effect in January. 

The rule would require manufacturers of medium- and heavy-duty trucks to sell an increasing percentage of new battery-powered vehicles each year. 

The bill still needs to pass a full Assembly and Senate. 

More: NJ Spotlight News 

NORTH DAKOTA

Industrial Commission Approves Carbon Dioxide Storage Permits

The Industrial Commission last week unanimously approved permits for Summit Carbon Solutions’ three proposed carbon dioxide underground storage sites. 

Summit’s proposed 2,500-mile, $8 billion pipeline would transport CO2 emissions from 57 ethanol plants in North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska for underground storage. Summit’s storage facilities would hold about 352 million metric tons of CO2 over 20 years. 

More: The Associated Press 

OKLAHOMA 

Supreme Court Refuses to Stop Corporation Commissioner Hiett from Voting

The state Supreme Court voted 8-0 to refuse to block Corporation Commissioner Todd Hiett from voting on rate hikes due to misconduct accusations. 

One justice said the Ethics Commission, and not the Supreme Court, was the more appropriate avenue for the disqualification request.  

Hiett has been accused of inappropriate actions while intoxicated, according to reports. 

More: The Oklahoman 

TEXAS 

Austin Approves Energy Generation Plan

The Austin City Council last week unanimously approved the “Austin Energy Resource, Generation and Climate Protection Plan to 2035.” 

The plan lays out city priorities such as continuing to move toward 100% carbon-free energy by 2035 and improving reliability, affordability and environmental sustainability. 

More: KXAN 

WEST VIRGINIA

PSC Imposes Stricter Standards on Mon Power, Potomac Edison

The Public Service Commission told Monongahela Power and The Potomac Edison Co. that it was imposing stricter standards to reduce service interruptions for customers. 

The new standards will require the companies to meet a 2% improvement. The improvement will be measured by two factors: average interruption duration and outage frequency. 

More: WDTV 

WISCONSIN 

We Energies Plans New Gas-fired Plant to Meet Growing Demand

We Energies announced plans to build a new natural gas-fired plant in Kenosha County, arguing the project is critical to meeting increasing demand. 

The plan to build a $300 million gas plant in the town of Paris is part of a planned $2 billion investment in natural gas infrastructure. The biggest chunk of that is a $1.2 billion project to transition the company’s Oak Creek site from coal to natural gas. The projects, along with a 33-mile natural gas pipeline, will need to be approved by the Public Service Commission. 

The company hopes to begin construction next year and bring the plant online in 2026. 

More: Wisconsin Public Radio 

PSC OKs Portage County Solar Farm

The Public Service Commission last week approved the Vista Sands Solar Project in Portage County. 

The project will be the largest in the state and among the most powerful in the country, generating nearly 1.3 GW. 

More: Stevens Point Journal 

WYOMING 

PSC Approves Rocky Mountain Power Rate Increase Settlement

The Public Service Commission last week approved a settlement agreement that finalizes an $80.6 million increase for Rocky Mountain Power. 

The settlement is about 7% less than the company’s original request of $86.4 million. Officials later said the initial figure was in error and was adjusted. 

The average residential bill will increase by about $11.95. 

More: WyoFile 

Federal Briefs

EIA: US Power Use to Reach Record Highs in 2024, 2025

U.S. power consumption will rise to record highs in 2024 and 2025, the Energy Information Administration said in its Short-Term Energy Outlook. 

EIA projected power demand will rise to 4,086 billion kWh in 2024 and 4,165 billion kWh in 2025, compared to 4,012 billion kWh in 2023 and a record 4,067 billion kWh in 2022. 

More: Reuters 

Supreme Court Rejects Co-op Attempt to Block EPA Ash Rule

The Supreme Court last week rejected a request from the East Kentucky Power Cooperative to block an EPA effort to address the health risks presented by coal ash. 

The utility challenged the EPA’s plan in a federal appeals court, saying the agency exceeded its statutory authority by requiring monitoring and remediation at facilities that were no longer producing coal ash. The utility also asked the appeals court to block the plan while it considered the matter, a request the court denied. The utility then asked the Supreme Court to intervene, saying the statute at issue applied only to sites where solid waste “is disposed of.” The present tense, it said, excluded inactive sites where it said coal ash had been removed. 

The court’s brief order gave no reasons and there were no noted dissents. 

More: The New York Times 

DOE Says LNG Reviews Must Wait for FERC

The DOE last week said it is not able to complete reviews of two planned liquefied natural gas export terminals in Louisiana until FERC finishes its environmental assessments of the projects. 

The projects are Venture Global LNG’s CP2 facility and a facility from Commonwealth LNG, both located on the Gulf of Mexico. 

The additional review follows an Aug. 6 decision by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit that quashed FERC’s approval of NextDecade’s plant and ordered FERC to reconsider the project ramifications with a new environmental statement and public comment period. 

More: Reuters 

Biden Admin Doubles Tariffs on Chinese Solar Panel Components

The Biden administration last week announced it will double tariffs on certain solar panel components that are made in China. 

Starting in January, imports of Chinese solar wafers and polysilicon will carry a 50% tariff, up from the current levy of 25%. In addition, the administration said it would increase tariffs on certain Chinese products made out of the mineral tungsten. 

More: The Hill 

Rep. Guthrie to Lead House Energy and Commerce Committee

Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.) won the race to lead the House Energy and Commerce Committee next year and will replace retiring Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-Wash.). 

Guthrie, who currently chairs the panel’s Subcommittee on Health, beat out Rep. Bob Latta (R-Ohio) for the post. 

More: Axios 

FERC Seeks Nearly $1B in Penalties from EE Provider in MISO, PJM

FERC has ordered American Efficient to defend its energy efficiency programs in PJM and MISO or pay a $722 million penalty and return $253 million in profits to ratepayers.

The commission’s Dec. 16 show-cause order directed the company demonstrate how it did not violate the Federal Power Act, FERC’s anti-manipulation rule and the MISO and PJM tariffs “through a manipulative scheme and course of business in PJM and MISO that extracted millions of dollars in capacity payments for a purported energy efficiency project that did not actually cause reductions in energy use” (IN24-2). (See “American Efficient Pushes Back on Allegations of Tariff Violations,” PJM Asks FERC to Eliminate Energy Efficiency from Capacity Market.)

The commission said the company has 30 days to either elect for a hearing before an administrative law judge or request a prompt penalty assessment.

“We are greatly encouraged by FERC’s enforcement action today against American Efficient, which is fully consistent with the findings of our investigation of its conduct in the MISO markets,” MISO Monitor David Patton said. “We continue to encourage MISO to respond to our recommendation to remove energy efficiency from its capacity market or to substantially improve its tariff to eliminate this type of gaming of MISO’s capacity market in the future.”

In a report attached to the order, FERC Office of Enforcement (OE) staff report allege that, instead of using capacity market revenues to deliver reduced demand, the company and its subsidiaries ran a market research program that determined how much consumption would be avoided if certain products were sold and then bid those savings into capacity markets “as if it caused the savings.”

OE said American Efficient did not deliver reductions in consumption, acquire ownership or rights to capacity savings associated with product installations, or “have a nexus with end-use customer projects.”

“American Efficient has exploited those markets, enriching itself, its individual investors, its various holding companies, and its investment bank counterparties by receiving capacity payments for a purported energy efficiency project that does not actually do anything to reduce demand,” OE said in the report. “Over the past 10 years, the company has cleared half a billion dollars in capacity without offering any real energy efficiency, providing any demand reductions or making the grid any more reliable. Its program receives more capacity payments than any single generator in PJM, and it offers nothing in return.”

The report says that, by purchasing “environmental attributes” and sales data associated with products sold at retailers such as Home Depot, Lowe’s and Costco, American Efficient claimed to have rights to enter those savings into capacity markets. Enforcement staff, however, argued the company did not inform consumers that it was claiming rights to any capacity associated with their purchase of efficient devices nor did it enter into any agreements with consumers or hold rights over any projects.

The report explained that EE programs typically include a host of measures to reduce demand, including marking down efficient products at the retail level, incentivizing residential consumers to install efficient appliances or incentivizing commercial and industrial customers to retrofit their businesses. Utility programs are subject to review by state commissions through measurement and verification processes.

Third-party programs have included efforts by a university to improve the efficiency of cold water distribution infrastructure and a school district improving lighting and building envelopes across its system.

OE staff analysis found traditional utility EE programs paid $20 to $100 per appliance for direct discounts, while American Efficient paid 15 cents on average. That analysis found the company paid around $0.001/kWh for energy savings it calculated — around 1% of what utility programs paid.

‘At Best Unethical’

The OE report notes the company had been barred from the ISO-NE and MISO capacity markets and that independent market monitors for MISO and PJM both referred the company to the Enforcement office in April 2021. It also states that American Efficient’s policy director left the company and voluntarily provided testimony for Enforcement staff, which wrote that she had “concluded that it had become nothing more than a ‘wealth transfer’ from ratepayers and was being run in a manner that was ‘at best unethical.’”

American Efficient did not inform PJM after being disqualified from MISO and ISO-NE, the report says, and instead expanded its program in the RTO’s Base Residual Auctions, increasing to account for nearly three-quarters of EE in PJM. The RTO’s stakeholders in August voted to outright eliminate EE from the capacity market , which FERC approved in November (ER24-2995). (See PJM Stakeholders Endorse Elimination of EE Participation in Capacity Market.)

“American Efficient defrauded the markets and ISO/RTOs by presenting its market data program as a capacity resource,” OE wrote in its report. “To carry out that scheme and ensure that it maximized its capacity payments, American Efficient concealed the true nature of the program by making false statements to market regulators. For example, it claimed that it provided ‘incentives’ and reductions in energy usage. Without any evidence or factual basis, the company also claimed that its program influenced or even dictated customer behavior.

“The company also repeatedly represented to PJM and MISO that its program met the respective tariffs’ EER definitions when the program did not. Finally, American Efficient also withheld material information from PJM and MISO to avoid scrutiny of its capacity market activities,” the report said.

Responding to the notification that OE intended to recommend an administrative proceeding, American Efficient defended its program by saying neither the RTO monitors nor the investigation had demonstrated fraud. The company argued that PJM had acknowledged in its stakeholder process and FERC filing to eliminate EE from the capacity market that its tariff does not require a causal link between capacity revenues and reduced capacity demand through EE programs. The company said it effectively followed the tariff language and was being expected to comply with anticipated rule changes.

“While the market monitors in PJM and MISO have strong policy preferences that EERs [EE resources] be removed from the markets, they are not arguing (nor could they, based on the record) that American Efficient misrepresented its program when seeking approval,” the company wrote. “Instead, the allegations go directly to the fundamental features of American Efficient’s EER program. There is no support for the allegation in the preliminary findings that American Efficient had a scheme with an intent to defraud the markets when the features were transparently presented to the RTOs, scrutinized by RTO staff and subsequently approved.

“Put simply, an enforcement action based upon fundamental features of American Efficient’s EER program that MISO and PJM knew and approved of would be inequitable.”

The company instead recommended that FERC open a technical conference to consider industry-wide changes to how EE participates in capacity markets and how its contributions are measured and verified.

After the monitors’ referrals, American Efficient met with commission staff and argued that it had not violated any FERC or RTO rules and enforcement action was unnecessary. Preliminary findings were presented to the company in July 2023 and a response was submitted the following September.

Enforcement staff sought to interview company personnel, according to the OE report, but American Efficient sent a letter in October 2023 stating that it would not make witnesses available. OE then requested that the preliminary investigation be made formal, which was granted in October 2023. Several former employees and third-party investors spoke with investigators in the proceeding.

DOE Cuts NIETC List from 10 to 3 High-priority Transmission Corridors

The U.S. Department of Energy has slashed the list of 10 potential National Interest Electric Transmission Corridors it released in May to just three much narrower corridors in the third phase of its designation process, the department announced Dec. 16.

Established under the Federal Power Act, NIETCs are geographically defined areas in which the secretary of energy finds “present or expected transmission capacity constraints or congestion that adversely affects consumers,” according to the announcement published in the Federal Register. Transmission projects located within a NIETC are eligible for special DOE financing and FERC permitting processes aimed at accelerating development and construction.

DOE set out a four-step process for NIETC designations in December 2023, including an initial information-gathering phase to help identify potential NIETCs, followed by the release of the preliminary list of 10 possible corridors in May. (See On the Road to NIETCs, DOE Releases Preliminary List of 10 Tx Corridors.)

The three proposed NIETCs selected in Phase 3 are:

    • the Lake Erie-Canada Corridor, including parts of Lake Erie and Pennsylvania;
    • the Southwestern Grid Connector Corridor, including parts of Colorado, New Mexico and a small portion of western Oklahoma; and
    • the Tribal Energy Access Corridor, including central parts of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and five tribal reservations.

According to DOE, its decisions on these three corridors were based on its own analysis and the public comments it received during the first two phases of the process, as well as priorities set in the department’s National Transmission Needs Study released in October 2023.

“Transmission development in these areas is critical to address transmission needs … unmet through existing planning processes,” DOE said. All three corridors also have one or more transmission projects under development, which DOE sees having near-term impacts on easing grid congestion, helping to put more renewable energy online and cutting consumer costs.

For example, the Lake Erie-Canada Corridor is a slimmed-down version of the Mid-Atlantic-Canada corridor on the Phase 2 list of 10 potential NIETCs. The Phase 3 version contains a smaller area in Pennsylvania and a larger area in Lake Erie. NextEra Energy Transmission’s Lake Erie Connector project, a 73-mile underwater line, could be located in the corridor, allowing for bidirectional energy flows between Pennsylvania and Ontario.

While the project is still in the early phases of development, a transmission corridor with that kind of HVDC line would increase capacity for clean energy integration on the grid, as well as support resource adequacy in PJM via the connection with Canada, according to DOE.

The Tribal Energy Access Corridor is a similarly “refined” version of DOE’s Phase 2 Northern Plains potential NIETC, with most of the corridor running along existing rights of ways and connecting several tribal reservations to existing or planned HVDCs.

The corridor includes parts of the Dakotas, Nebraska, the Cheyenne River Reservation, Pine Ridge Reservation, Rosebud Indian Reservation, Standing Rock Reservation and Yankton Reservation.

NIETC designation here could help the Transmission and Renewables Interstate Bulk Electric Supply (TRIBES) HVDC project being developed by the Western Area Power Administration and other tribal and regional stakeholders, as well as relieving congestion and preparing for future demand growth. Nebraska, for example, is becoming a hub for data center development as part of a new “Silicon Prairie.”

While highlighting these projects, DOE noted that “NIETC designation is not a route determination for any particular transmission project, nor is it an endorsement of one or more transmission solutions.”

Why These, not Those?

Declining to comment on specific corridors, Dylan Reed, senior adviser for external affairs in DOE’s Grid Deployment Office, listed a number of reasons for the exclusion of the other Phase 2 potential NIETCs.

“NIETC designation can disrupt effective transmission planning or ongoing transmission project development in the region. That was one consideration,” Reed told RTO Insider.

“[No. 2] … there appeared to be limited [ability for] a NIETC designation to further transmission in the near term in that area. In some cases, we lacked sufficient information to be able to narrow the boundaries to facilitate timely designation,” he said.

Beyond prioritizing NIETCs that might meet shorter-term needs, DOE pointed to its own limitations of staffing and time for taking Phase 3 NIETCs to a final designation in Phase 4. The department is opening a 60-day comment period, which will include three webinars, one on each of the proposed NIETCs. The comment period will close Feb. 14, 2025.

Another key component of Phase 3 is determining whether the potential corridors will need a full environmental review under the National Environmental Policy Act. A NEPA review for each corridor could be required if DOE determines that “NIETC designation is a major federal action significantly affecting the quality of the human environment,” according to the announcement.

The department is also asking for additional input on other meetings or community engagement activities it should plan as part of its environmental reviews.

A full NEPA review could take two years, so Reed would not speculate on when final NIETC designations might be made. He also declined to speculate on what impacts, if any, the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump might have on the NIETC process.

But DOE said its decision not to move the other Phase 2 projects forward does not mean those areas do not have transmission needs. “Rather, DOE is exercising its discretion to focus on other potential NIETCs at this time and may in the future revisit these or other areas through the opening of a new designation process,” it said.

NIETC vs. NIMBY

Even before it was cut from the list, the Delta-Plains corridor drew strong political and public opposition within Oklahoma over the possibility of eminent domain acquisition of private lands.

As originally proposed, the corridor would have stretched 645 miles from Little Rock, Ark., through the Oklahoma Panhandle, with an 18-mile right of way in some portions.

“I won’t let anyone steamroll Oklahomans or their private property rights,” Gov. Kevin Stitt (R) posted on X. “The feds don’t get to just come here and claim eminent domain for a green energy project that nobody wants.”

Attorney General Gentner Drummond (R) sent a letter to U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm calling the corridor “classic federal overreach” and pledged to protect private property rights.

DOE gave Oklahoma’s leadership advance notice on Dec. 13 that the Delta-Plains corridor would not be moving forward.

With or without a NIETC, the region does not lack for proposed transmission projects that could run into similar NIMBYism. The Southwestern Grid Connector corridor will graze the western edge of Oklahoma’s state line. DOE notes two projects in development in the potential NIETC: the Heartland Spirit Connector project by NextEra Energy Transmission, and the Southline Phase 3 project by Grid United.

Invenergy also has proposed the Cimarron Link to unlock access to the Oklahoma Panhandle’s “inexhaustible wind energy.”

SPP, which operates the grid in Oklahoma, has approved several large projects in the state as part of its 2024 Integrated Transmission Planning assessment. (See SPP Board Approves $7.65B ITP, Delays Contentious Issue.)

Overheard at Raab Electricity Restructuring Roundtable: Dec. 13, 2024

BOSTON — Energy experts from across the Northeast gathered for Raab Associates’ New England Electricity Restructuring Roundtable on Dec. 13 for a preview of some of the key issues that will dominate policy discussions in the coming year.

While 2024 brought notable success on state-level climate policy in Massachusetts, the new year brings significant uncertainty regarding whether the change in federal administration will slow the momentum of the clean energy transition in the region. (See Mass. Clean Energy Permitting, Gas Reform Bill Back on Track.)

Prior to the passage of a major omnibus climate bill in November, “the first thing on the list of challenges was siting and permitting,” said Rebecca Tepper, secretary of the Massachusetts Executive Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs.

The new climate law creates a streamlined siting and permitting process for clean energy infrastructure, capping the state’s review of permitting applications to 15 months for large projects. Tepper said collaboration between a wide range of stakeholders through the state’s Commission on Energy Infrastructure Siting and Permitting was essential to passing the bill with widespread support.

Looking forward, Tepper said the state’s “big challenge for [2025] is interconnection; you’re going to see us really focusing on that next year.”

Tepper also highlighted the possibility of another offshore wind procurement in 2025 and said the state is exploring the potential of new interregional transmission links with New York, PJM or Québec. “We see a lot of opportunity for further hydro coming from Canada,” she said.

Serge Abergel, COO of Hydro-Québec Energy Services, said increased transmission capacity between New England and Québec could help speed up decarbonization and reduce the need to overbuild renewables as the Northeastern U.S. achieves a highly decarbonized system. (See Québec, New England See Shifting Role for Canadian Hydropower.)

He said Hydro-Québec’s modeling indicates that an additional export-neutral transmission line between the regions could provide major benefits by 2040. A new line “could reduce the length of a major outage by about two days, and it could save [New England] $2 [billion] to $3 billion over those two days,” Abergel said.

Recent drought conditions have caused the company to reduce exports over the spot market to New England, causing some observers to question the reliability of Québec supply in the future and whether the benefits of new transmission capacity would justify the costs.

While ISO-NE’s exports to Québec have increased during the drought, imports continue to play a key reliability role on the grid: They earned $29 million in Pay-for-Performance credits during two capacity scarcity events this summer, far more than any other resource class. (See NEPOOL Markets Committee Briefs: Dec. 10, 2024.)

Former FERC Chair Richard Glick (left) and Jonathan Raab, Raab Associates | © RTO Insider LLC

Abergel said there is uncertainty over the degree that climate change has influenced the current drought and said the conditions are “on par with the worst cycle we’ve seen in the past.”

“Our firm commitments are always met, but our spot market sales fluctuate,” he said, adding that the New England Clean Energy Connect transmission project — which includes a 20-year contract for Québec to send baseload power to New England — should be in service in December 2025.

Hydro-Québec’s energy supply should also receive a major boost from a new agreement between Québec and Newfoundland and Labrador, which was announced the day before the roundtable. The agreement would increase the price Québec pays for power from the Churchill Falls hydroelectric generating station in Labrador while paving the way for a significant increase in generation capacity.

FERC Preview

Former FERC Chair Richard Glick, now a principal at GQS New Energy Strategies, previewed what the new year could bring for the commission.

As states work to decarbonize their power supply, Glick said the incoming Trump administration “will have an impact, but maybe not as much of an impact as some fear,” adding that he is “still very bullish on what’s going on in the clean energy side.”

He also praised FERC’s work on Order 1920-A, calling it “a very helpful order” that should increase the likelihood of successful transmission projects.

Regarding Order 2023, which overhauled FERC’s interconnection rules, Glick said the commission likely “didn’t go far enough” and noted that it has taken “a really long time to act on the compliance filings.” (See New England Clean Energy Developers Struggle with Order 2023 Uncertainty.)

Under a Republican-led commission, grid operators may be afforded greater flexibility on both orders, Glick said. He added that, under the Trump administration, FERC could look more favorably at pipeline expansion projects and proposals to allow fossil generators to skip ahead in the interconnection queue for reliability purposes.

Electric Vehicle Outlook

The roundtable also featured a panel focused on transportation decarbonization, with speakers discussing the growth of the U.S. electric vehicle industry and the potential of managed charging.

Roger Kranenburg, vice president of energy strategy and policy for Eversource Energy, said he remains optimistic about the overall upward trend of EV sales despite recent growth challenges and a less favorable stance from the incoming administration. He emphasized the major role that fleet-level electrification will play in transportation decarbonization.

“Fleets are coming, and they’re going to transition faster” than individual consumers, Kranenburg said. “It’s all an economic decision.”

Chris Rauscher, head of grid services and virtual power plants at Sunrun, highlighted the potential of EVs to help eliminate peak demand costs and emissions.

There currently is “way more capacity in electric vehicles than there is in stationary storage in the U.S.,” Rauscher said, adding that, when modeling 200,000 bidirectional EVs on the New England power system, just 30% of the vehicles’ battery capacity would eliminate the need for oil peakers on a winter day.