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October 31, 2024

PJM MIC Briefs: Aug. 9, 2023

Stakeholders Endorse Proposal on Co-located Load

VALLEY FORGE, Pa. — The PJM Market Implementation Committee voted to endorse one of several packages to flesh out the rules around loads seeking to receive their power from behind the meter of a generator. (See “Vote on Rules for Generation with Co-located Load Deferred,” PJM MIC Briefs: July 12, 2023.)

A 51.2% majority of stakeholders supported Exelon’s proposal for co-located loads not considered to be receiving service from the wholesale grid, passing over three competing proposals. None of the four proposals for co-located loads receiving grid service received majority support.

The Exelon proposal would permit a generator to retain its capacity interconnection rights (CIRs) for the share of its output supplied to the co-located load, so long as that load curtails within 10 minutes of PJM calling on the generator to supply that capacity to the grid.

For co-located configurations to be considered to not be receiving grid service, they would need to be designed to ensure that they’re exclusively supplied by the corresponding generator and disconnected whenever they’re not being served by the generator.

The proposal would consider the generator to be a load-serving entity for the co-located load and levy all relevant load-serving entity (LSE) credits and charges.

The approach of allowing co-located load to not be considered receiving grid service — but assigning some of the charges a wholesale customer would be assessed to the generator — has raised stakeholder questions, with some arguing it could muddy the waters of state and federal jurisdiction.

PJM’s Tim Horger said the current rules for generators receiving grid service remain unclear without a package approved addressing those configurations, and he plans to examine the Exelon package for ways to discuss additional changes.

“I think we probably still want to do that, but we also want to take into account the Exelon package that was approved,” he said. “To be clear, we do have rules in place now and we are following them.”

Lynn Horning, of American Municipal Power (AMP), said any approach PJM plans to take on co-located load with grid service should be clear when stakeholders make their final endorsement vote on the Exelon package.

MIC Rejects Reactive Power Compensation Proposals

Stakeholders rejected four proposals to revise the compensation structure for generators providing reactive power service and voted to sunset the Reactive Power Compensation Task Force (RPCTF). Generator owners are required to submit a FERC filing for each facility providing the service to receive compensation, which creates administrative burden and lacks a standardized approach. (See “First Read on Reactive Power Compensation Proposals,” PJM MIC Briefs: July 12, 2023.)

The clean energy coalition (CEC) proposal, formed by a group of renewable developers, received the most support at 62.2% when compared to the other three packages. But it didn’t hold onto that support when compared to the status quo and failed to pass at 44.3% support.

The CEC package would create a cost-of-service structure with a flat rate based on the methodology FERC uses to evaluate reactive filings and would require testing to validate that generators receiving compensation are able to provide the service.

The PJM proposal would have determined each generator’s reactive capability, measured in MVAR, and compensated them monthly. Synchronous and storage resources would have been compensated based on their availability in the prior month.

The Independent Market Monitor made two proposals, the first of which would have eliminated compensation outside of existing markets on the basis that all generators are required to provide reactive service as part of their interconnection service agreement (ISA).

The Monitor’s second would have used a flat rate structure based on demonstrated capability, similar to PJM’s proposal, but would have phased out compensation.

The proposals would have affected only new generators or facilities entering new compensation agreements, with the task force’s scope precluding changing existing reactive rates. The MIC voted down a proposal to expand the task force’s scope to include existing service rates last month. (See “Stakeholders Reject Proposal to Expand Reactive Power Task Force Scope,” PJM MIC Briefs: June 7, 2023.)

Danielle Croop, facilitator for PJM’s Reactor Power Compensation Task Force, said in the absence of a main motion to move to the Markets and Reliability Committee, stakeholders could decide to continue deliberations at the task force, move discussion to the MIC or sunset the task force and close the issue.

David “Scarp” Scarpignato, of Calpine, said it’s significant that none of the proposals gained support over the reigning rules and given that the task force began its work two years ago it’s unlikely more discussion would yield new proposals.

“It doesn’t look to me like it’s a good idea to go back to the task force. I don’t think it’s a matter of whittling down the existing proposals to better proposals, I think people like the status quo,” he said.

Scarp motioned to sunset the task force, which was approved by acclamation without objection.

First Reads on Proposals Addressing Multi-schedule Modeling in MCE

Package sponsors gave first reads of three proposals aimed at addressing the expected performance impact of implementing multi-schedule modeling in the rebuild of the market clearing engine (MCE). (See “Merged IMM-PJM Issue Charge on Multi-schedule Modeling Endorsed,” PJM MIC Briefs: March 8, 2023.)

The discussion stems from a finding that introducing the enhanced combined cycle (ECC) model and energy storage resource (ESR) and hybrid model into the Next Generation Markets (nGEM) overhaul of the engine would cause the amount of time it takes for PJM to determine what resources will clear in the day ahead market to become impractical.

For combined cycle generators, the number of different configurations they can operate in, with varying numbers of turbines paired with heat recovery steam generators (HRSGs) and multiple offers for each configuration, multi-schedule modeling could lead to an exponential increase in MCE computation times.

PJM’s Package A would address the issue by creating a formula that would select one offer resulting in the lowest total dispatch cost to be modeled in the MCE.

PJM’s Keyur Patel said the schedule selection built into the MCE is the most optimal approach, but he does not see any way of getting the benefits of including the new models into the engine without some compromises. A joint PJM and GT Power proposal would use the Package A approach, but consider only cost-based offers for resources that fail the three-pivotal-supplier (TPS) test. Price-based offers would be used for resources that pass the test, aside from price-based parameter-limited schedule (PLS) offers being used for capacity resources under emergency conditions.

The Monitor’s proposals could combine the lowest offer points and most flexible parameters from resources price and cost based offers under certain scenarios, impose offer capping and parameter limits to all resources that fail the TPS test and apply parameter limits to capacity resources during emergencies.

Deputy Monitor Catherine Tyler said there are market power concerns in the MCE which allow resources to inflate LMPs by using high markups and to extract uplift using inflexible parameters, both of which would be made worse by PJM’s proposal. She said that parameters other than minimum run time aren’t considered under PJM’s approach.

Endorsement of the proposals is scheduled for the Sept. 6 MIC meeting. Customized Energy Solutions’ Carl Johnson said deciding between the packages likely will remain difficult for stakeholders who aren’t as familiar with offer structures.

“For those of us who aren’t really in the weeds on this, this is a really difficult choice to make,” he said.

Voltus Brings Economic Demand Response Parameter Issue Charge

Voltus presented an issue charge and problem statement making the case that demand response resources lack the parameters other generators can include in their offers, limiting the consumers able to participate as an economic resource.

David Aitoro, of Voltus, said DR now can be dispatched for a single five-minute interval, then be curtailed only to be called on again in the third interval. For many DR participants, that may not match their curtailment capabilities and is not in line with parameters other generation resources can include in their offers, he said.

He also argued that many consumers who could curtail air conditioning systems could do so for one to three hours without a major impact to building temperatures, but there’s no capability to structure an offer to reflect that.

“It’s really DR that’s getting left out in the cold here,” Aitoro said.

Several stakeholders discussed the scope of the issue charge and how economic DR in the energy market relates to DR entering the capacity market. Aitoro said Voltus’ intent is to focus on the energy market, which could include resources that also offer into the capacity market.

PJM’s Peter Langbein said there’s around 8 GW of DR in the capacity market with corresponding energy market offers, most of which are in excess of $1,000/MWh. Economic DR also can offer separate energy-only offers, with about 2 GW doing so.

Scarpignato said generators are required to enter their most flexible parameters in their offers and those Voltus is seeking to include appear to reflect desires rather than true capability.

Exelon’s Alex Stern noted that discussion held at the Distributed Resources Subcommittee (DISRS) on the issue charge and problem statement was raised during the July MIC meeting, with stakeholders questioning if the topic fit into the group’s scope or if it should be discussed elsewhere. (See “Stakeholders Question Scope of Distributed Resources Subcommittee,” PJM MIC Briefs: July 12, 2023.)

MIC Facilitator Foluso Afelumo said the scope and proper group to host the discussion are the primary issues to be ironed out before a vote.

Stakeholders Discuss Proposals to Include Local Factors in Net CONE

Paul Sotkiewicz, president of E-Cubed Policy Associates, presented a second proposal to create rules for incorporating local considerations that could impact generators’ net cost of new entry (CONE), such as local or state regulations or legislation. (See “Discussion on Local Considerations for Net CONE,” PJM MIC Briefs: March 8, 2023.)

The package would create a fifth CONE area for the Commonwealth Edison region, which Sotkiewicz has argued will see significant impacts to generator lifespans under the Illinois Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (CEJA). PJM also automatically would create new CONE areas for any regions where new local factors cause a reduction in asset lifespan or set emissions limits that “imply a reference resource with different technology” than the current resource net CONE is based on.

Sotkiewicz said the proposal would capture the potential for hydrogen fuel blending or carbon sequestration requirements to increase operating and maintenance costs or introduce issues with the asset life.

If the reference resource were to remain a combined cycle generator at a point when those resources are being required to blend hydrogen, he said there would be a need to incorporate that in the energy and ancillary services (E&AS) offset and update its asset lifespan more regularly.

The PJM package would also create a fifth CONE area for the ComEd region but does not create any provisions for the future addition of new areas.

FERC Approves NERC Transfer Study Funding Request

FERC on Thursday approved NERC’s plan for funding the interregional power transfer capability study ordered by Congress in June, which will require the ERO to redirect 2023 budget funds intended for other purposes and tap its Assessment Stabilization Reserve (ASR) (RR22-4).

NERC submitted the plan to the commission in June, shortly after its Finance and Audit Committee approved the plan in a special meeting. (See NERC FAC Approves Transfer Study Funding.) The proposal was developed after Congress ordered the study as part of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, passed in June.

The FRA requires NERC to deliver to FERC by December 2024 a study on the total transfer capability between neighboring regions, additions to transfer capability that could strengthen grid reliability and recommendations to meet and maintain total transfer capability. (See Lawmakers, White House Promise More Work on Permitting After Debt Deal.)

NERC calculated it would require $1.55 million in funds not accounted for in its budget because it did not know about the requirement to perform the study when it created its 2023 business plan. To accomplish this, the ERO decided to reprioritize its 2023 work plan to free up cash. The effort included deferring several projects planned for this year, along with the ERO’s intentions to fill three open positions in bulk power system awareness, engineering and security, and standards.

After these steps, NERC determined it still would need to draw $700,000 from the ASR to avoid a special assessment. In its filing to FERC, NERC described the use of the ASR — which is funded only by U.S. entities — as fitting because the U.S. federal government mandated the study without input from Canada’s government.

In its decision last week, the commission said it found NERC had “provided sufficient information to justify” its proposal to tap the ASR. No motions to intervene or protests were filed with FERC, and the commission indicated no disagreement with NERC’s reasoning.

FERC did, however, take issue with the ERO’s reason for filing the budget request. While NERC only asked permission to use the ASR, the commission observed that the ERO is required to seek the commission’s approval for any change in how it uses budget. This meant, in FERC’s eyes, that NERC’s proposal as submitted was incomplete.

Despite this mild rebuke, the commission acknowledged that NERC had justified the reallocation anyway, and “because we understand the importance of expediency in this matter,” FERC said it would approve both parts of the plan without requiring another filing from the ERO.

The commission’s approval means NERC officially can begin work on Phase 1 of the study. A NERC spokesperson told ERO Insider that staff expects to start this phase — which includes identifying areas of surplus and deficient generation; performing the transfer capability analysis; and identifying thermal, voltage and stability limits — on Aug. 15.

FERC’s decision accounts for only the 2023 expenditures; paying for the work to be done next year requires revising NERC’s 2024 business plan and budget, a draft of which the ERO already had completed before Congress passed the FRA. NERC’s Board of Trustees and board committees will meet this week in Ottawa to consider the revised budget.

According to the FAC’s agenda, the study is projected to cost $3 million next year. NERC plans to pay $400,000 of this with “repurposed contractor and consultant funds,” leaving a total budget increase of $2.6 million. This cost will be split evenly between the ASR and the Operating Contingency Reserve.

PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: Aug. 8, 2023

Planning Committee

Stakeholders Endorse RRS Load Model

VALLEY FORGE, Pa. — The PJM Planning Committee last week endorsed the load model recommended by the RTO for calculating the load forecast for the 2023 reserve requirement study (RRS).

The selected distribution, derived from data from 2013 through 2019, has a more conservative estimation of future loads than the model used in the 2022 study, with loads being higher in most percentiles.

The study will set the installed reserve margin and forecast pool requirement for the 2027/28 delivery year and inform any modifications to the previous three years’ values.

Alongside the Probabilistic Reliability Index Study Model (PRISM) program, PJM will use software developed for the hourly loss-of-load modeling used for effective load-carrying capability (ELCC) studies in this year’s RRS. PJM says the ELCC software has the potential to produce better results and will generate two sets of data, which will be presented to stakeholders when the study is complete for endorsement of one set of outcomes. (See “Reliability Requirement Study to Use New Software,” PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: May. 9, 2023.)

The load model selection process is required only for the PRISM software, which requires normal distributions of data, whereas the PJM forecast data are empirical. The ELCC process models the monthly peak load uncertainty by deriving load scenarios and frequency weight for each delivery year between 2012 and 2021.

The top three performing load models all project PJM’s peak overlapping with the peak for the “World,” defined as MISO, NYISO, TVA and VACAR. The RTO recommends the World peak be moved to a different week in July to avoid the overlap, which historically it has found unlikely and would lead to a decreased capacity benefit of ties (CBOT) value.

PJM’s Patricio Rocha Garrido said in the past 24 years, the World and PJM have not peaked on the same day in just over half those years. The PRISM software used to conduct the load model analysis treats each day as a five-day week, which would compound the impact a coincident peak would have in the data.

PJM Presents Preliminary Capital Budget

PJM presented a $44 million capital budget to stakeholders, a $2 million increase over the amount it projects to spend in the 2023 fiscal year. The preliminary budget is dominated by the cost of current applications and systems reliability, facilities and technology infrastructure and application replacements.

Though the $44 million ask is an increase over recent years, PJM’s James Snow said the RTO remains within the $45 million range it expected to spend.

Spending on applications makes up nearly half the budget at $21 million, which includes upgrades to PJM’s Dispatcher Application and Reporting Tool (eDART) system, improvements to credit or risk applications and cybersecurity. Facilities and technology spending would sit at $11 million and include replacement of backup generators at the control center and server upgrades.

The $8 million in proposed application replacements includes spending on the Next Generation Markets Systems (nGEM) project being undertaken with several other RTOs to build a new market clearing engine and related software.

Spending on new products and services would be $3 million, while $1 million would be spent on interregional coordination.

Migration of eDART Accounts to New Platform Underway

PJM began the process of working with members to transition from managing their accounts through eDART to its Account Manager software. The migration of the 7,443 accounts in eDART started on July 25 and will continue through Dec. 13.

PJM’s Maria Baptiste recommended users begin transitioning as quickly as possible to give themselves time to work through any issues that may arise. The Account Manager dashboard can be used to create new user accounts, reset passwords, unlock accounts and grant or terminate eDART account access.

Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee

AEP Proposes $202 Million Rebuild of 345-kV Line

American Electric Power proposed rebuilding its 51.8-mile, 345-kV Desoto-Sorenson line, telling the Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee last week the majority of the lattice structures and conductor on the line are more than 70 years old. The utility proposed rebuilding the line in a double-circuit configuration at a $202.4 million cost, including new structure entrances at the Sorenson, Keystone and Desoto substations.

The line has experienced 22 momentary outages and 12 permanent outages since 2014. AEP has found that the paper-expanded conductor installed on it is difficult to splice during repairs because of limited replacement materials.

AEP also evaluated rebuilding the line as a single circuit, but it determined that because of the number of generators seeking to interconnect on both sides of the line, as well as its status as the only transmission connecting the Fort Wayne grid to the 345-kV Tanners Creek hub, a double circuit would be more appropriate. The cost of a single circuit rebuild was estimated at $187.4 million.

FirstEnergy Presents Data Center Interconnection Projects

FirstEnergy proposed $27 million in upgrades to meet a projected 336 MW in data center load growth near its proposed 230-kV Sage substation.

The proposal includes a $1.5 million expansion of the substation, including installing three additional 230-kV circuit breakers, two new transformers and two 34.5-kV buses. The 138-kV Bartonville-Meadow Brook line also would be upgraded with an additional wave trap and revised relay settings for $700,000.

The third phase of the project, estimated at $25 million, would add nine additional breakers to the substation, bringing the total to 15, and terminate the 230-kV Doubs-Eastalco line at Sage. The substation also would be looped into the 230-kV Doubs-Lime Kiln line.

PJM’s Sami Abdulsalam said the data center load was identified in the 2022 Regional Transmission Expansion Plan (RTEP) Window 3, which is in the proposal selection phase, and the proposal addresses the interconnection requirements for the load.

Philip Sussler, of the Maryland Office of People’s Counsel, asked if there was any transmission headroom available from the deactivation of the Eastalco Aluminum plant, which used about 300 MW prior to its retirement in 2010.

FirstEnergy’s Larre Hozempa said some of that transmission capability has been consumed by load growth over the intervening decade and the new data center load is expected to be significantly larger than the plant’s. The load included in Window 3 was about 1,300 MW, with 900 MW already under contract.

Update on RTEP Windows

Abdulsalam also presented an update on the 2022 RTEP Window 3 and the first window of the 2023 RTEP, which opened on July 24 and is set to close Sept. 25. (See “2023 RTEP Window 1 to Open this Month; 2022 RTEP Window 3 Selections in September,” PJM PC/TEAC Briefs: July 11, 2023.)

Window 3 closed on May 31 after receiving 72 proposals from 10 entities, and PJM has completed the individual proposal screening and planning evaluation steps. It now is conducting proposal scenario evaluations. In developing and analyzing dozens of scenarios, PJM looks at the full proposals made and modifications to them, and combines elements to create mix-and-matched variants.

Abdulsalam said the window had an atypically low rate of cost-containment commitments, signaling that developers believe there is higher risk associated with the projects and it may be harder to ensure cost estimates remain accurate.

Ranking of the scenarios will include scalability to address future needs, use of existing rights of way, cost evaluation and avoiding redundant capital investment. Abdulsalam said part of the analysis will include looking at other proposed projects outside the window and evaluating if they can be modified or synergized with the RTEP to reduce costs. He said the $786 million in transmission upgrades associated with the deactivation of the 1,295-MW Brandon Shores coal generator near Baltimore is one such project.

Some of the proposals that were focused on addressing the 2027 model needs do not appear to be expandable to address needs expected in the following year, Abdulsalam said. Analysis of the 2028 model also shows more grid reinforcements needed in the eastern and southern Dominion regions.

PJM is aiming to hold a special TEAC meeting in October to present the window evaluation results, followed by asking the Board of Managers for approval in December.

PJM OC Briefs: Aug. 10, 2023

Stakeholders Endorse Manual Changes Related to NERC Winter Readiness

The Operating Committee voted during its Aug. 10 meeting to endorse manual revisions to conform with essential actions NERC included in a May cold weather readiness alert.

PJM’s Donnie Bielak said the changes to Manual 13 are essentially verbatim from NERC’s language and focus on ensuring that infrastructure used for manual load shedding doesn’t overlap with equipment designated for use in underfrequency or undervoltage load shed. The manual changes are slated to go before the Markets and Reliability Committee during its Aug. 24 meeting.

The NERC alert includes eight actions for asset owners and RTOs to take to increase readiness for winter storms. The additional actions include: identifying generators capable of operating at the lowest hourly temperature seen at their locations since 2000; updating balancing authorities’ operating plans to account for fuel supply, environmental constraints and availability; and generation owners detailing each facility’s cold weather preparedness plan, cold weather critical components and any freeze protection measures that have been implemented on those components prior to the upcoming winter.

Stakeholders encouraged PJM to talk with generation owners about the NERC alert actions that apply to them and their responsibilities.

PJM Proposes Synchronized Reserve Deployment Language

PJM brought a quick-fix issue change, problem statement and a proposal to specify that generators should respond to synchronized reserve deployments immediately after receiving an Inter-Control Center Communications Protocol (ICCP) signal or an all-call message. Bielak said outreach to generators about poor reserve response rate has found that many wait until they receive the all-call message even after receiving the ICCP.

“You don’t need to wait for that all-call, if you get that ICCP to spin, start deploying your reserves,” he said. “The all-call should be more of a confirmation. … It is an older technology.”

The all-call is an automated phone message that can take a few minutes to reach all generators, Bielak said, while the ICCP signal can be transmitted nearly instantly following a reserve deployment.

Reserve performance has been a concern since the response rate declined following an overhaul of the reserve market implemented Oct. 1, 2022. During the July MRC meeting, PJM brought an issue charge and problem statement seeking to open a broader stakeholder process, including the creation of a task force, to investigate several issues and possible solutions related to reserves. (See “PJM Seeks Stakeholder Process on Reserve Certainty,” PJM MRC/MC Briefs: July 26, 2023.)

July Sees Several Days of High Load Forecast Error

Load forecast error exceeded PJM’s 3% goal for several days in July, which PJM attributed to inaccurate weather forecasts. Delivering the operating metrics report, PJM’s Hong Chen said the 3% figure is an internal goal to  measure forecasts against.

PJM overforecast loads July 25-29, when Bielak said a heat wave was expected to bring peaks around 152 to 154 GW. Unexpected thunderstorms contributed to temperatures coming in lower than forecasted, leading to a peak of 147 GW on July 27.

“We had up to 10, 15 degrees weather forecast error and that was consistent across the board from all our vendors,” PJM’s Joseph Mulhern said.

PJM’s analysis of the forecast during the heat wave suggests the error came down to weather, rather than load forecast error.

Stakeholders asked PJM to include a narrative explanation and any backcast analyses in future operating metrics reports when forecast error is high.

Bielak said loads were on track to near an “all-time peak” in the last week of July, but the loads didn’t materialize. PJM issued hot weather alerts for the entire RTO on July 26 through 28 and issued a maximum generation alert on July 27 and 28, triggering a NERC Energy Emergency Alert (EEA) Level 1. The hot weather alerts also defer transmission outages.

PJM issued a maintenance outage recall for the event and had good response from the resources that were offline, which was a small number given it being “peak season,” Bielak said. Both generation and transmission performed well through the event, he said.

PJM Proposes Manual Revisions Related to Communication Failures

PJM’s Ryan Nice presented proposed revisions to Manual 1, which relates to the control center and data exchange requirements, drafted through the document’s periodic review. The changes detail when transmission owners must notify PJM that interpersonal communication capabilities have been disrupted.

The new language specifies that communication can include several forms of contact, including cell phones, satellite or radio, and that a notification of failure has to be made only when all modes have failed.

PJM Brings Quick Fix Issue on Data Sharing

PJM presented a quick fix issue charge, problem statement and proposed manual changes to create a carve out from the requirement that PJM provide five days’ notice before providing confidential information to NERC, reliability coordinators, transmission operators and similar groups.

The problem statement says PJM regularly provides such information and has found the notification requirement can be inefficient and burdensome in certain instances. The proposed manual language would create an exception for data transmitted during a NERC audit or investigation into whether PJM is in compliance with reliability standards and when using tools created by regional entities, such as NERC’s Generator Availability Data System (GADS).

PJM Details Cybersecurity Threats

PJM Chief Information Security Officer Steve McElwee said new cybersecurity threats are rising, including the use of artificial intelligence to create targeted messages designed to trick targets into divulging sensitive information and groups ransoming data.

An offshoot of the language learning model ChatGPT has been created to bypass safeguards preventing the model from being used to create “phishing” emails aimed at stealing information, and McElwee highlighted recent Congressional testimony about the threat Chinese artificial intelligence advancements present the American electric industry.

McElwee said a “critical infrastructure company” has been targeted by an exploit found in the software Citrix, which allowed data to be collected on targeted systems. The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) has released an advisory recommending that Citrix users evaluate their systems for potential compromise and apply patches released by the developer to resolve the issue.

Critical Load Verification Process to Begin Shortly

PJM is preparing to initiate the critical load verification step in its black start request for proposal process. Starting in late August or early September, generators will be required to validate the amount of existing critical load they possess or submit data for new generators.

PJM’s Dan Bennett said critical loads are the components that will require power from the grid to restart a generator as black start resources “crank” the grid after a blackout. The restoration process focuses on generators with a start time of four hours or less. He said critical load includes equipment such as electric gas compressors and nuclear units’ shutdown, safety and cooling systems.

The parameters PJM will be looking for includes the energy requirements of the critical load, motor sizing and transformer parameters. The analysis also will look at the cranking paths to ensure the transmission grid can route power from black start units to generators being restarted.

PJM and IMM Plan Joint Filing on Real Time Values

PJM and the Independent Market Monitor plan to make a joint filing asking that FERC act on its real time values proposal made in July 2021. The filing was made in the commission’s pending order to show cause stemming from a concern that PJM’s tariff may not be just and reasonable due to uncertainty around what happens if a generator cannot meet its unit-specific parameters in real time (EL21-78).

PJM’s Lauren Strella Wahba said PJM’s proposal would allow real time values to be submitted only for actual physical unit limitations or those outside management control. Real time values would be required to be submitted after the close of the day ahead market.

The order to show cause stated that PJM’s tariff may allow generators to avoid market power mitigation by submitting offers that increase the likelihood of market-based, rather than parameter-limited, offers are selected. (See FERC Issues Show Cause Order on PJM Parameter Limited Offers.)

“Sellers may be able to structure their market-based parameter-limited offer strategically to ensure that PJM chooses the market-based offer, which is not subject to parameter limits,” the commission said. “This undermines the purpose of parameter-limited offers, which is to ensure sellers are not able to exercise market power through the use of inflexible operating parameters.”

The order to show cause came after the commission rejected PJM’s proposal to allow sellers to change their unit-specific parameter limits in real time in May 2021.

NM Commission to Set Standards for RTO, Day-ahead Participation

New Mexico regulators have launched a process to develop “guiding principles” regarding participation in a regional day-ahead market or RTO.

The Public Regulation Commission on Thursday voted 3-0 to approve an initial order opening a docket on the matter and scheduling a workshop at 2:30 p.m. Sept. 21.

The docket will be used to investigate factors that two investor-owned utilities in the state, Public Service Company of New Mexico (PNM) and El Paso Electric (EPE), should consider when deciding whether to enter an RTO or day-ahead market. Both utilities currently participate in CAISO’s Western Energy Imbalance Market.

Following one or more informal workshops, the PRC may opt to begin a formal rulemaking process.

Commissioner Patrick O’Connell called the order “a good step forward on a very important topic.”

“This is not a trivial thing,” O’Connell said. “I think there is a lot of potential value for our customers. Getting it right is where the work is.”

The commission also gave a homework assignment to PNM and EPE in the form of questions to answer in writing on RTO and day-ahead market issues. The utilities will present their answers during the workshop.

The questions are organized under 14 topics. On the topic of reliability, the commission wants to know whether system reliability is improved by regional market participation and how a utility’s responsibility for local reliability might change.

Two questions fall under the topic of transmission. The commission has asked if participation in a day-ahead market would improve the transmission system for New Mexicans and how that would compare to joining a full RTO. A second question asks whether the regional market should require participating transmission providers to make all their capacity available to the market and what exceptions should be made.

Under the topic of market transparency and performance, the utilities will discuss the types of data that would be provided to the commission and the public to assess market performance.

On another topic, the utilities were asked to describe the impact of joining either CAISO’s Extended Day-Ahead Market or SPP’s Markets+ on “seams.”

Another question is how rural electric cooperatives can participate in the market.

With dozens of questions for the utilities to answer, the commission could decide that a series of workshops is needed, rather than a single session.

The PRC also has asked Southwestern Public Service (SPS), which is a member of SPP, to submit written comments about benefits or impacts to ratepayers resulting from RTO participation.

Other stakeholders are encouraged to participate in the process.

“Stakeholders’ comments here about what they expect to get out of regional markets will be very valuable as we try to develop the guidance principles and expectations,” Commissioner Gabriel Aguilera said.

New Mexico’s effort comes just as competition is heating up between CAISO and SPP over their respective efforts to bring day-ahead markets to the West, which likely would be a precursor to a full RTO. (See In Contest for the West, Markets+ Gathers Momentum — and Skeptics.)

Overheard at MARC 2023: Equity and the Energy Transition

GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. — The annual Mid-America Regulatory Conference (MARC) Aug. 6-9 again centered on the clean energy conversion and transmission expansion, this time with an undercurrent of equity.

MARC’s 2023 conference, “Grand Vision: Past, Present, Future” originally was planned for late spring 2020 but was derailed by the pandemic until Aug. 6-9.

“It’s a conference more than four years in the making,” Michigan Public Service Commission Chair Dan Scripps said, welcoming regulators, utility representatives and “Barbies, Kens and even Allans” to the conference.

Equity Takes Center Stage

Multiple Indiana and Michigan-based grassroots equity and climate activist groups attended MARC this year, pressing regulators and utility representatives to decarbonize faster while addressing longstanding disparities in the grid’s design.

Wisconsin PSC Chair Rebecca Cameron Valcq said the energy transition affords the industry “a once-in-a-generation opportunity and responsibility” to include vulnerable communities in environmental justice. She said those communities have good reason to distrust the systems in place and have been neglected “for hundreds of years.”

Regulatory initiatives often are “dense and obtuse,” Cameron Valcq said, making an informed and participating public an uphill battle. She said “there’s more work to be done” in ensuring the public know where and when to comment.

Becca Jones-Albertus, director of the Solar Energy Technologies Office at the U.S. Department of Energy, said an “unevenly distributed” transition is underway, where some parts of the country already have rapidly transformed while other parts have little idea of what’s in store for them.

Jones-Albertus said over the next few years, she expects 5-10% of power consumed to originate on the distribution system.

“We’re at a fork in the road,” said Jeffrey Schlegelmilch, director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia Law School. He said the industry can either view the transition through the “lens of equity” and extend the benefits of innovation to all, or it can exclusively lavish investments on wealthier areas, forcing poorer Americans to pay more for power, be neglected from environmental redress and continue bearing the brunt of reliability breaches and dangerous weather.

Schlegelmilch said societal and economic costs will be much lower if the industry brings everyone along on the clean energy overhaul. He said he’s performed analyses where the medical costs of exacerbated health conditions and the “cascading impacts” of those costs alone make replacing a fossil fuel generator with a battery storage facility cost-effective in communities. But he also said that raises the question of who ultimately pays for action versus inaction.

A breakout panel during MARC 2023 | © RTO Insider LLC

Midwest Building Decarbonization Coalition’s Marnese Jackson said historic racism, capitalism and a single-minded drive for corporate profit is making a truly equitable decarbonization increasingly unattainable. She called for an emphasis on shifting away from “dirty” natural gas as soon as possible.

Consumers Energy CEO Garrick Rochow said equity and environmental justice can be baked into the energy transformation. He said he believes carbon capture will factor heavily into the clean conversion, and natural gas generation will “fill in the gaps” and then “diminish.” Rochow said once the grid is sufficiently greened, green hydrogen can enter the conversation.

Rochow also said Consumers has conducted unconscious bias analyses in its outage restorations and grid investments practices, something it “should have done 20 years ago.”

“What we’ve found is we’re investing more in our most vulnerable customers because the grid is in worse shape in those areas,” he said.

In a session on planning a just transition for power plant communities, Hilary Scott-Ogunrinde, deputy director of energy and utility at the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Activity, said the state is trying to “rectify the wrongs of the past” through the Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (CEJA).

She asked the audience to guess how many coal plants have closed in Illinois in the past decade. After speculations ranging from five to 20, she said the number is 11.

Scott-Ogunrinde said after the rash of closures, Illinois passed CEJA, which contains grants for coal-to-solar facility changeovers, both for underprivileged individuals seeking to invest in renewable development and for communities transitioning from coal, nuclear, natural gas or mining operations.

Hilary Scott-Ogunrinde, Illinois | © RTO Insider LLC

Larry Steckelberg, an administrator of community services at the Michigan Department of Treasury, said Windsor, Ontario’s twinkling lights across the Detroit River are in stark contrast to Detroit’s lack of recreational waterfront, brownfield sites, abandoned factories and shuttered coal plants. He said River Rouge, Mich., the former site of heavy industry and DTE Energy’s River Rouge coal plant, which closed in 2021, is one of the most polluted sites in Michigan and will take several years of remediation until people are enticed to move there.

Steckelberg said revitalizing a former coal plant city is a long-term project, often taking 15-20 years, with cities “swept up in global events” out of their control. He said he personally couldn’t predict how fast coal would fall out of fashion globally.

Steckelberg said the town of Covert, Mich., was unprepared for the closure of the Palisades nuclear plant, even though indications were clear. He urged communities to diversify energy sources and not “just become a site” for solar panels because it’s the trendy resource now. But he acknowledged that the list of federal resources and the requirements can be “bewildering” for some communities.

“Putting in layers of bureaucracy does not get the help that people need,” Scott-Ogunrinde agreed. “…If we’re going to have the money available, then have the money available. Because the people filling out the forms, they need it. Even if they don’t have 20 pages of documentation.”

EPA Senior Adviser Jon Grosshans said historically the U.S. has supported communities suffering manufacturing losses, but it hasn’t provided backing for communities that transition from coal plants.

Grosshans said the federal government is seeking to create a “front door” for financial resources for transitioning communities.

“Sitting around in 2019, it was pretty obvious to us that this was going to be a decade of closing more coal and bringing on more renewables,” said Emily Fisher, Edison Electric Institute executive vice president of clean energy.

Fisher said EEI quickly realized that net-zero plans would need to incorporate dispatchable technologies with the assistance of carbon capture, green hydrogen and long-duration storage.

“No company has released a plan that hasn’t carefully thought this through,” she said.

But Fisher said it became apparent over the past few years that “maybe this decade isn’t going to be as easy as we thought it was going to be,” referring to how difficult it remains for new generation to clear interconnection queues and receive grid treatment.

Fisher also said post-pandemic, utilities have become more acutely aware of affordability. She said when utilities raise concerns about customer affordability, it’s often perceived as utilities trying to stall the clean energy transition. But she said utilities are justified in their concern whether costs can be recovered from ratepayers.

DTE Energy CEO Jerry Norcia said DTE’s latest integrated resource means his utility is mounting an “aggressive” net-zero plan. (See DTE, Activists Announce Agreement to Exit Coal by 2032.)

“Solar seemed unreachable from an economics standpoint about 10 years ago. What seemed impossible a decade ago has become very, very possible,” Norcia said.

Norcia also said he’s optimistic about green hydrogen and predicted the technology will improve, and costs will plummet so that what seemed insurmountable will become achievable.

Norcia also said DTE’s service territory has begun to see “violent storms… and weather patterns that were reserved for states south of us,” upping the pressure to make infrastructure investments for the sake of reliability. He said the climate crisis and growing demand for electrification means utilities need to “build the grid out slightly ahead of time.” He also said worsening weather means utilities need to seriously consider “how to get stuff underground,” indicating burying lines.

EEI’s Emily Fisher (left) and DTE Energy CEO Jerry Norcia | © RTO Insider LLC

“That’s something we’re going to start experimenting with and seeing how we can get the costs down,” he said.

Google Global Head of Energy Caroline Golin said Google is conscious it demands a lot of electricity and wants to accelerate the switch to carbon-free sources. She said Google is focused on how to partner with suppliers on pilot projects for green hydrogen, long-duration storage and carbon capture.

“I can tell you this [carbon-free] growth is coming, it’s coming now, it’s coming fast. We wanted it yesterday. …We will not grow somewhere where we don’t see a goal,” she said of renewable energy targets.

Golin also said Google doesn’t want to wait on a “six-year interconnection queue” before planned generation can link up to the grid. Google aims to achieve net-zero emissions across all operations by 2030.

“We make two-year, three-year business commitments,” she said.

Towering Transmission Investments

“What we do know is that the future is going to [be] significantly more complex than anything we’ve ever planned for before,” SPP Vice President of Engineering David Kelley said, noting that the U.S. has sustained about 360 weather and climate disasters since 1980 where overall damages and costs have reached at least $1 billion. “Planning for a loss of load event every 10 years is no longer going to cut it,” he said.

Advanced Power Alliance’s Steve Gaw said transmission system expansion is necessary to unlock clean, low-cost energy and shrink congestion.

Gaw said if grid operators aren’t proactively planning, “you’re risking being 10 years behind.”

“In the words of Dwight Eisenhower, I’d say plans are nothing — and basically worthless — but planning is everything,” he said.

Gaw also said transmission projects — even ones built to further a lone public policy goal — rarely fulfill a single purpose. He said transmission often offers a myriad of economic, reliability and decarbonization benefits. He said it’s nearly impossible to build transmission for a single goal.

“You’ve got to think about the consequences if you don’t make that investment,” ITC’s Charles Marshall said of transmission planning, pointing out that his friend’s electric bill will contain an up to $10 surcharge every bill for decades to fund the recovery efforts after Winter Storm Uri because the system wasn’t built to weather the storm.

FERC Commissioner Mark Christie said contrary to the perception of a crumbling and decrepit transmission system, there’s a surge in new transmission projects.

“We’ve heard a lot about how the grid is old, it’s creaky, it’s built for a World War II era,” he said.

But Christie said the national transmission rate base has tripled in the past decade and is set to double over the next eight years. He said grid planners need to be sensitive to regional costs. “You ain’t seen nothing yet” in terms of how high transmission price tags will ascend in the coming years, Christie warned.

From left: ITC’s Charles Marshall, Advanced Power Alliance’s Steve Gaw and FERC Commissioner Mark Christie | © RTO Insider LLC

Siting infrastructure isn’t going to get any easier, multiple panelists said.

“There’s so much development that communities are reacting. They’re being asked to solve global energy infrastructure problems, and they’re thinking ‘that’s not my problem,’” University of Michigan Director Sarah Mills said.

Mills said developers should sell their projects as solutions to lift farmers’ incomes and increase local tax bases.

Mills also said regulators should be upfront about collecting comments and if the contents stand to change the outcome in a decision.

Mills admitted even she didn’t fully understand how to comment in Michigan Public Service Commission proceedings. She said only the wealthy usually have the time and the means to register their opinions.

Grid United CEO Michael Skelly said infrastructure upgrades, renewable additions and carbon capture facilities stand to benefit disadvantaged communities by improving air quality.

Causes for Concern

America’s Power CEO Michelle Bloodworth said 80 GW of the nation’s 200-GW coal fleet will retire over the next seven years, “putting a lot of pressure” on natural gas infrastructure as a source of fuel-secure dispatchable generation. She said state regulators should slow down the pace of retirements for coal units and let them live their “natural, useful lives” until the grid can secure generation replacements with reliable attributes.

“I don’t want to be the angel of death and cast a pall on this discussion … but I think it’s important to speak very bluntly about the situation we’re in,” consultant Bob Gee said.

Gee said gas suppliers desperately need the creation of a gas reliability organization even though it’s a “hornet’s nest.” He said the grid risks outages in the winter and now in the summer as demand grows.

Grid Strategies’ Rob Gramlich agreed grid operators are leaning on natural gas more, and more needs to be done to make the supply dependable.

Gramlich credited MISO’s 2011 portfolio of Multi-Value transmission projects for keeping the lights on during severe winter weather. He said it’s possible to build the grid “bigger than the weather” and thanked MISO for its work on its first, $10 billion long-range transmission plan (LRTP) portfolio. Gramlich also said grid-enhancing technologies and plans for interregional transmission are necessary going forward to safeguard reliability.

MARC 2023 featured an optional tour of the natural gas-fired Holland Energy Center in Holland, Mich. | © RTO Insider LLC

MISO COO Clair Moeller said while about 80% of the first LRTP portfolio used existing rights of way or adjacent routes, the second, multibillion-dollar portfolio on greenfield locations will be more difficult to site and build.

“So, buckle up buttercup, this one’s going to be hard,” he said.

Moeller also said the greater transport capability between organized markets is the most significant change in recent years to avoid load shed events.

“In the old bilateral days, it would take days to move that kind of power,” he said.

Moeller said he continues to worry about what the Germans call “dunkelflaute,” or multiday periods of overcast skies and little wind. He said storage technology doesn’t yet have the capability to cover those prolonged conditions.

ISO-NE Proposes 21.5% Budget Increase for 2024

ISO-NE proposed a 21.5% increase in its revenue requirement for 2024 last week, citing the need to retain and expand its workforce to enable the clean energy transition. The RTO presented the $244.5 million operating budget and $35 million capital spending plan to the NEPOOL Budget and Finance Subcommittee on Friday.

In response to the proposed increase, some public advocacy groups have criticized the RTO for a lack of transparency and engagement with the public on its budget process, arguing that these issues indicate a lack of accountability to ratepayers.

“I don’t see it as reasonable that New England ratepayers are minting new millionaires every year at ISO-NE, and we don’t even have the ability to question those financial packages,” said Tyson Slocum, director of Public Citizen’s Energy Program. “Thousands of New Englanders who are really struggling to make ends meet with continued rate hikes across the region are shut out of the process. They can’t go and share their grievances; they’re literally locked out of the room.”

ISO-NE first proposed a preliminary version of the budget to the Participants Committee (PC) in June. (See ISO-NE Considers Major Capacity Market Changes.) The RTO said it needs $27 million for “catch-up” adjustments to current employee salaries and investments in information technology, cybersecurity and the transition to cloud-based infrastructure; $11.5 million for the revenue requirement true-up; and almost $10 million for 35 new employees to respond to the clean energy transition.

“Our executive compensation structure is designed to attract and retain top-tier talent essential to overseeing the complex energy landscape and ensuring the reliability of the regional power grid,” an ISO-NE spokesperson told RTO Insider. “We regularly review and benchmark our executive compensation against industry standards to ensure it remains competitive, fair and aligned with our performance goals.”

The draft budget also includes a placeholder headcount for a position focused on environmental policy and community engagement, following the request by five of the six New England states (all but New Hampshire) for an executive-level environmental justice position at the organization. (See States Call for an Executive-level EJ Position at ISO-NE).

Mireille Bejjani of environmental justice organization Slingshot applauded the inclusion of this position and the addition of staff and resources dedicated to the clean energy transition.

“I think the key distinction is, are we paying existing leadership — who are already making a lot of money — even more money, or are we paying for more staff to be able to accelerate the clean energy transition?” Bejjani asked.

According to ISO-NE’s 2021 IRS Form 990, ISO-NE CEO Gordon van Welie made about $2.4 million in 2021, while COO Vamsi Chadalavada made nearly $2 million. Meanwhile, salaries for members of the Board of Directors working about 10 hours per week ranged from $113,000 to $173,000.

The 2024 draft budget includes $5 million for the base salaries of the 11 officers, a roughly 6% increase over the $4.7 million requested in 2022. ISO-NE executives also make a significant portion of their total income outside of their base salary; van Welie and Chadalavada both made more in bonus and incentive compensation than in their base salaries in 2021.

“Especially this past winter, lower-income communities were hit really hard with rate increases and having to potentially choose between paying their electric bills and putting food on the table,” Bejjani said. “If those bills go up even a small percentage per month, that can make a huge impact on lower income communities, just to pad the pockets of people who are already making well over six figures a year for not very much work, in the case of the Board members, and for [van Welie] and the other top leadership, upwards of a million dollars.”

ISO-NE estimated that the budget increase would cost the average ratepayer 28 cents per month, bringing ISO-NE’s total charges to around $1.46 per consumer per month, or about $18 each year, assuming an average monthly electricity consumption of 750 kWh. The presentation said ISO-NE’s total operating expenses were on the lower end compared to NYISO, CAISO, IESO, PJM, MISO, SPP and ERCOT.

Slocum said since ratepayers pay ISO-NE’s cost regardless of performance, they must be given access to the RTO’s budgetary proceedings. He also argued that bonus compensation should be more transparently tied to performance.

“It doesn’t seem just and reasonable to pay such extravagant salaries and bonuses with no corresponding accountability,” Slocum said.

Beyond executive compensation, the proposed budget includes about $300,000 for state-level lobbying and $100,000 for federal lobbying, paid to external consultants. Over the first half of this year, ISO-NE spent $60,000 on federal lobbying, employing former Bush administration official Adam Ingols. ISO-NE also spent $45,000 on its Massachusetts lobbying operation.

ISO-NE plans on reviewing the proposed budget at the September PC meeting, followed by a PC vote in October.

DERs’ Deployment Leads to Increasing Cyber Threats

With distributed energy resources (DER) playing a growing role in electric reliability, ensuring their protection from cybersecurity threats has become increasingly vital, the Texas Reliability Entity heard last week.

Rebekah Barber, a cyber and physical security analyst for Texas RE, says now is the time to look ahead at the threats this emergency technology will face. While she focused primarily on smart devices, Barber said DERs, whose deployments are expected to triple by 2025, will not be exceptions.

“These devices can pose a risk to the average network as these devices are typically not designed with security in mind,” she said during a Talk with Texas RE webinar Thursday. “Traffic is often not encrypted from these devices, default [administrative] passwords aren’t changed and sometimes, vendors don’t push out firmware updates or security patches.”

Barber said DERs may face “zero-day attacks,” when hackers exploit software flaws before developers are able to address them.

“While they are specifically targeted towards industrial systems, they prey on the vulnerabilities found in those newer technologies,” she said.

The threats don’t stop there, Barber said.

“As cybersecurity defenses have evolved, attackers have shifted their focus upstream to ‘contaminate the water,’ so to speak,” she said. “Attackers are now focusing more on trusted suppliers and vendors to add backdoors or weaken the overall security of products and services to gain access to an otherwise protected system.”

Barber cited the SolarWinds hack of 2020, in which the Texas software company sent an update to its customers that was infected with a malicious code. About 18,000 SolarWinds customers downloaded the update, unwittingly helping spread one of the largest cyberattacks against the U.S.

“Many companies, including some federal agencies, were affected by this attack, which gave attackers access to the victim’s network, and then from there allowed the attackers to compromise other systems,” Barber said.

She said protecting DERs should begin with a skilled and empowered security team and that “other best practices will naturally follow.”

They include: endpoint detection and response to understand what is being communicated with and to quickly respond to threats; a zero-trust model that verifies and authenticates every access attempt; encrypting communications between operators and resources to ensure confidentiality and prevent data tampering; and multi-factor authentication beyond passwords to strengthen user accounts and prevent unauthorized access.

Barber referred her audience to a report released last fall by the Department of Energy that gives a high-level overview of the expected cybersecurity challenges with DERs’ increased deployment in the coming years.

The report defines DERs as small-scale power generation, flexible load or storage technologies between 1 kW and 10,000 kW that can provide an alternative to or improve the traditional electric power system. They can be located on a utility’s distribution system, a subsystem or behind the customer’s meter. DERs may also include electric storage, variable generation, distributed generation, demand response, energy efficiency, thermal storage or electric vehicles and their charging equipment.

In 2020, NERC created the System Planning Impacts from DER Working Group (SPIDERWG) to address “key points of interest” related to system planning, modeling, and reliability impacts to the bulk power system .

MARC 2023 Touches on Order 2023, Interconnection Troubles

GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. — This year’s Mid-America Regulatory Conference took notice of FERC’s recent set of interconnection rule changes.

Experts on an interconnection panel Aug. 7 were hopeful that the commission’s Order 2023 — meant to alleviate queue backlogs, give developers certainty and prevent discrimination against new technologies — will fix some of the problems plaguing queues (RM22-14). (See FERC Updates Interconnection Queue Process with Order 2023.)

“We know the symptom of the interconnection problem, but what’s the cure?” Iowa Utilities Board Commissioner and panel moderator Joshua Byrnes asked panelists in a room packed with attendees.

AEP Vice President of Transmission Planning Kamran Ali said he thought Order 2023 will result in “cleaner” interconnection queues, though the jury is still out on whether it will encourage more capacity to connect.

“We’re capacity-short in a lot of areas because load is pushing resource requirements up,” Ali said.

Clean Grid Alliance Executive Director Beth Soholt said FERC’s order is helpful to spur transmission providers to bring new generating capacity online and not simply be motivated to preserve the existing resources on the system.

“We’re talking about a lot of turnover. We have a lot of retirements; we must get a lot of megawatts through in a short amount of time. We have to look at both sides of the ledger. What can interconnection customers do, but what can MISO and transmission owners do? It’s not working well today,” Soholt said.

Enel North America’s Gina Mace said she was glad to see FERC placed emphasis on the commercial readiness of generation projects in Order 2023.

Mace also said queues “could see a lot of progress” if long-term transmission planning is co-optimized with interconnection planning. She said today’s transmission system is ill-suited to how scattered generation is becoming.

Soholt said in a perfect world, there would be that same comprehensive planning in MISO, in addition to many more engineers to study two cycles of entrants per year.

Soholt said transmission owners should communicate with interconnection customers earlier to signal whether proposed points of interconnection are feasible. She also said MISO is on the wrong track to propose to cap the number of megawatts annually that it will study. MISO has proposed to restrict queue submissions to a 60%-of-peak-annual-load (about 73 GW) annually, triple its entry fees and establish more rigorous land obligations and escalating penalty charges. (See MISO Aims for Manageable Interconnection Queue.)

“If you cap the megawatts, you’re going to have people lining up five years ahead just to enter the queue,” Soholt said, asking if that scenario is conducive to the rapid plans for a clean energy transition.

“The demand is there. We’ve got to get them through the process,” Soholt said.

Mace said MISO needs more realistic study assumptions, a clearer notifications process if withdrawing projects stand to affect other projects and a plan to somehow reduce the interdependency among projects in its studies.

Ali said interconnection customers want some certainty before they commit to securing land. However, he said the quicksilver nature of earlier queued projects and the potential for re-studies mean interconnection queues probably will continue to be synonymous with uncertainty.

MISO has said the majority of the requirements “appear to generally align” with existing MISO process. It said it likely must tweak timelines, requirements and nomenclature in its interconnection process to match FERC’s vision.

Ørsted Addresses Challenges of US OSW Market

Ørsted last week provided an outlook and an update on its place in the U.S. offshore wind power market, where great business opportunities are balanced by significant near-term challenges.

The briefing came after the world’s largest offshore wind developer reported its second-quarter/first-half financials Thursday and published its investor presentation.

In the follow-up earnings call, CEO Mads Nipper was pressed by financial analysts on the situation off the Northeast coast, focus of the first phase of what is expected to be a massive U.S. buildout in decades to come.

Ørsted has achieved some significant positive milestones there in recent months:

Federal regulators gave Ørsted final approval for Ocean Wind 1 off the New Jersey coast. And the state allowed Ørsted to benefit from tax incentives previously reserved for ratepayers when it said it needed more money to proceed with the 1.1-GW project. Nipper said this will help the company progress to a final investment decision.

And off the Rhode Island coast, the turbine foundations and substation have been installed for South Fork Wind, which Nipper expects will be commissioned by the end of this year as the nation’s first utility-scale offshore wind farm.

But also in recent months, Ørsted has told New York it may not be able to go forward with Sunrise Wind 1 without more money.

Rhode Island shot down Ørsted’s proposal for Revolution Wind 2 as too expensive.

And New York invited Ørsted to resubmit lower bids for Sunrise Wind 2. (Other bidders in the state’s third solicitation were given the same option.)

Other developers and other states are having the same problems:

Avangrid has reached a deal to back out of power purchase agreements for Commonwealth Wind and is seeking a higher rate for Park City Wind.

Shell and Ocean Winds are trying to back out of their SouthCoast Wind PPAs.

Equinor and BP told New York they need more money to build Beacon Wind, Empire Wind 1 and Empire Wind 2.

Atlantic Shores wants the same help from New Jersey that Ocean Wind 1 received.

Developers cite surging material costs and rising interest rates. With the eventual income from these wind farms locked in place before costs started rising, the developers say they cannot obtain financing to build them.

Given this, and given that these projects each carry a price tag in the billions, the details are of particular interest to financial analysts.

Q & A

The following is a summary of some of the questions posed Thursday and Nipper’s responses.

Q: Do policymakers understand that they need to pay more to reach their offshore wind goals?

A: Generally, we are confident they will. But the challenges are not small, and it is good that the industry is showing financial discipline by pulling projects to make the point that prices need to increase and auction frameworks need to change.

Q: Is it time to rethink some of Ørsted’s final investment decisions on U.S. projects, given the stubbornness of regulators, and focus on new bids instead?

A: We are having good dialogues and see progress. So, we are still pursuing plans. We see no value in walking away from existing projects and pursuing new ones.

Q: What is your assessment of the U.S. offshore sector?

A: States’ ambitions are continually growing, and they are realistically considering what needs to happen to achieve those goals. President Biden’s target of 30 GW installed by 2030 is still within reach.

Q: What is your timeline for a final investment decision on the Northeast U.S. projects?

A: We are aiming for fourth quarter 2023 or very early 2024. We need clarity on investment tax credits for individual projects — final guidance has not been issued on domestic content. So, there is not a clear number on Revolution 1 or Sunrise 1. And we are still in discussion with New York on increasing offshore renewable energy credits for Sunrise 1, which is very important to that project moving forward.

Q: Why did New York invite developers to resubmit lower bids in the third solicitation?

A: The auction framework was quite complex, and we believe some of the other companies’ bids may not have been fully compliant. Ours was.

Q: So Ørsted is not going to rebid at a lower price?

A: We submitted a realistic bid the first time.