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November 17, 2024

MISO: No Change to Energy Offer Cap this Winter

By Amanda Durish Cook

CARMEL, Ind. — MISO will not raise its energy offer cap for the coming winter but will ask FERC to approve another waiver allowing recovery of costs above $1,000/MWh through uplift.

MISO officials told the Market Subcommittee on Oct. 27 that they were responding to stakeholder feedback that generally preferred to repeat the approach that ruled the RTO’s market last winter (ER15-691). Like last winter, all offers are still subject to mitigation by the Independent Market Monitor.

MISO is expected to file the waiver request with FERC by Nov. 2, asking for a January implementation date. As late as last month, MISO had been considering raising the limit to $1,500. (See MISO Considering Raising Energy Offer Cap.)

Markets System Analyst Chuck Hansen said that MISO will seek a long-term solution for winter 2016/17 that complies with FERC guidance. FERC on Sept. 17 announced its intention to take action on offer caps and other price formation issues, though it offered no timeline. (See NOPR Requires RTOs Switch to 5-Minute Settlements.)

“Any permanent solution is going to have to follow what FERC might do,” Hansen said. “We don’t know what that direction is yet, but we’re going to have to respond to it.”

The offer cap is designed to limit potential market power, but natural gas price spikes, such as those in January 2014, can push generators’ costs higher.

Jeff Bladen, MISO’s executive director of market design, said no generators sought to use the waiver last winter.

Hansen said that MISO’s database could accommodate a higher offer cap with only minor “tweaks.” But MISO said caps above $1,500 could require changes to market rules governing the value of lost load (VOLL) and operating reserve demand curves.

During gas price spikes and high loads that tighten operating reserves, system marginal prices could near or exceed MISO’s $3,500/MWh VOLL, and congestion and loss components of LMPs could be reduced or lost.

“Our studies have shown that the energy offer cap has to be in sync with other market parameters,” Hansen said. “Before the following winter, we want to raise the offer cap, but we want to be careful of fixing one thing and creating issues under a different scenario. The point is we don’t want to solve one problem, then cause a bigger problem in other market conditions.”

Another consideration is that MISO generation could be lured to other regions with higher caps. PJM members agreed in September to seek FERC approval to increase its offer cap to $2,000/MWh beginning this winter. (See PJM Members OK $2,000/MWh Energy Market Offer Cap.)

MISO said generator responses also would be affected by different operating reserve scarcity curves.

MISO’s call for feedback on the issue generated 10 stakeholder responses: six votes to maintain a $1,000 cap, two votes to raise the cap to $1,500 and two votes supporting either case. Eight stakeholders voted to use uplift to recover verifiable costs above the cap; two stakeholders disagreed with using uplift to recover costs exceeding $1,000.

Weather Helps Dominion’s Bottom Line

By Suzanne Herel

RTO-DominionDominion’s third-quarter operating earnings fell in the middle of its guidance, at $1.03/share on $611 million, compared with $545 million ($0.93/share) for the same period in 2014.

The Richmond, Va., company attributed the increase to favorable weather and “farmout” revenues from the assignment of gas interests to third parties.

Dominion predicts fourth-quarter earnings in the range of $0.85 to $0.95/share, compared with $0.84/share last year.

“We continue to execute with strong operational and safety performance, and all major projects in our infrastructure growth plan are on time and on budget,” CEO Thomas Farrell II said.

The construction of a 1,358-MW natural gas combined-cycle facility in Brunswick County is 89% complete and set to begin operating in mid-2016.

Farrell also noted that during the third quarter, Dominion submitted the Atlantic Coast Pipeline and Supply Header Project for FERC approval, with construction on both planned for the fourth quarter of 2016.

“Our Cove Point liquefaction project is also progressing on time and on budget,” Farrell said. “The project overall is about 47% complete, and engineering — at 95% — is nearly complete.”

FirstEnergy Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Raises Guidance

By Suzanne Herel

firstenergyFirstEnergy reported third-quarter operating earnings of $0.98/share, compared with $0.89/share in the same period of 2014, reflecting higher distribution sales and the impact of previously resolved rate cases, the company said in an earnings call.

Overall, it reported earnings of $395 million ($0.94/share) for the quarter, compared with $333 million ($0.79/share) last year.

The Akron, Ohio, company also raised and narrowed its guidance for the year’s operating earnings to $2.67 to $2.75/share from its previous prediction of $2.40 to $2.70.

“Our strong third-quarter results reflect a solid performance across all three of our businesses — Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Competitive Energy Services,” CEO Charles Jones said.

Jones said the company had made “tremendous progress” on three key initiatives: its cash-flow improvement project, PJM capacity market reforms and the Ohio Electric Security Plan, under which the company is seeking power purchase agreements.

He said the cash-flow improvement project, which seeks savings ideas from across the company, should generate $240 million in improvements by 2017.

Jones said he was “cautiously optimistic” about the capacity market reforms, noting that the clearing prices were in line with expectations and come closer to reflecting the true operating costs of generation.

Regarding the Electric Security Plan, he said, “We currently expect a decision by early 2016.”

Operating earnings in the Regulated Distribution business increased due to hot weather and approved rate cases. Distribution deliveries were up nearly 3% overall compared with the same time last year, also driven by hot weather along with an increase in commercial sales.

Operating earnings also increased year-over-year for the Regulated Transmission business, in part from revenues related to FirstEnergy’s Energizing the Future transmission upgrade program.

Higher capacity revenues, lower purchased power costs and lower transmission charges contributed to increased operating earnings in the Competitive Energy Services segment.

Eversource Q3 Earnings Flat; 2015 Earnings Up So Far

By William Opalka

eversourceEversource Energy earned $235.9 million ($0.74/share) in the third quarter, about the same as its $234.6 million ($0.74/share) for the same period a year ago.

Results included after-tax integration costs of $1.7 million in 2015 and $3 million in 2014 from the combination of Northeast Utilities and NSTAR.

In the first nine months of 2015, Eversource earned $696.7 million ($2.19/share), compared with $597.9 million ($1.89/share) in the first nine months of 2014.

“We’re having a very successful year exceeding our financial and operational targets and advancing key initiatives to provide our region with long-term sources of low-cost, clean energy,” Eversource CEO Thomas J. May said in a statement.

The company also narrowed its 2015 earnings guidance to $2.80 to $2.85/share, which May said is “very consistent with our projected long-term EPS growth rate of 6 to 8%.”

Eversource’s electric distribution and generation segment earned $167.7 million in the third quarter, compared with $153.4 million in the third quarter of 2014.

Its transmission segment earned $78 million in the most recent quarter versus $88.1 million in the third quarter of 2014.

Post-Talen Spinoff, PPL Reports Healthy Earnings

By Suzanne Herel

pplPPL posted third-quarter adjusted earnings of $347 million ($0.51/share) compared with $297 million ($0.44/share) for the same period last year, a 16% increase on a per-share basis.

The company increased its forecast for per-share earnings growth to 6% through 2017, based on higher-than-expected earnings from the company’s regulated operations in the U.K., CEO William Spence said. The forecast range had been 4 to 6%.

Spence also credited the projected earnings growth to more than $3 billion in annual investments in infrastructure in the U.S. and U.K.

The reporting period was the first full quarter since the Allentown, Pa., company spun off its supply division into Talen Energy.

PPL’s reported earnings for the first nine months of the year reflected a loss of $915 million ($1.36/share), primarily due to the spinoff.

Earnings from ongoing operations of PPL’s U.K. regulated segment for the quarter increased $0.01/share over the third quarter of 2014. There, lower income taxes and depreciation expenses were offset by lower utility revenues, the company said.

In PPL’s Kentucky regulated segment, earnings from ongoing operations were up $0.04/share year-over-year, mostly due to higher returns on environmental capital investments and base electricity rates. However, that segment also experienced steeper operation and maintenance expenses.

In its Pennsylvania regulated segment, PPL reported a third-quarter bump of $0.01/share compared with last year in earnings from ongoing operations. The company attributed that to larger transmission and distribution margins, partially offset by a greater depreciation, O&M expenses and income taxes.

Akins: PUCO Decision on AEP Guaranteed Rate Coming Soon

By Suzanne Herel

aepThe Public Utility Commission of Ohio should rule by the end of the year on power purchase agreements that would guarantee income to some of American Electric Power’s coal plants, CEO Nicholas Akins said in the company’s third-quarter earnings call.

The decision, Akins said, will have an impact on whether AEP decides to sell some of its merchant fleet. “The PPA is very, very important to our standing in Ohio overall, and whether we keep that portion of the generation or not.”

AEP reported operating earnings for the quarter of $521 million ($1.06/share), compared with $493 million ($1.01/share) for the same period in 2014. The “strong earnings performance” gave the company confidence to increase its 2015 earnings-per-share forecast to $3.67 to $3.77/share from $3.50 to $3.65/share, Akins said.

“We saw positive load growth in all major retail customer classes in the third quarter. While sales to the oil and gas sector and those related to the auto industry remain strong, other industrial sectors are under pressure due to the strong dollar and the weak global economy,” the CEO said.

AEP’s vertically integrated utilities reported the biggest jump in third-quarter operating earnings — $55 million compared with the same period in 2014 — reflecting the impact of favorable weather and rate outcomes, the company said.

Hot Weather, Cheap Natural Gas Help PSEG Earnings

By Suzanne Herel

psegPublic Service Enterprise Group’s third-quarter operating earnings benefited from hot weather, increased investment in infrastructure and the continued low cost of natural gas, CEO Ralph Izzo said.

The Newark, N.J., company reported adjusted earnings of $403 million ($0.80/share) compared with $393 million ($0.77/share) last year.

Izzo noted that since the beginning of the year, the company’s five-year capital program has increased by 20% to $15.6 billion.

That boost in spending, he said, should drive “double digit” growth in the rate base through 2019. The company also is adding 1,300 MW of gas-fired combined-cycle capacity to PSEG Power’s generating fleet.

Public Service Electric and Gas reported operating earnings of $222 million ($0.44/share) for the third quarter compared with $200 million ($0.39) last year. The earnings were helped by warmer-than-normal weather, a slight increase in electric demand and revenue recovery on infrastructure-related investment programs. They also reflected an increase in pension expense.

After having retired about 1,800 MW in the second quarter of less efficient capacity that didn’t meet New Jersey’s environmental standards, PSEG Power reported operating earnings for the third quarter of $170 million ($0.33/share) compared with $171 million ($0.34/share) last year.

Exelon on Track for Blockbuster Year, Crane Says

By Suzanne Herel

earningsExelon is on track to deliver its best year of earnings since 2012, CEO Christopher Crane told analysts in the company’s third-quarter earnings call.

“At the utilities, we’re set to invest $3.7 billion this year in needed infrastructure and enhancements and grid reliability and resiliency modifications, part of more than a $16 billion investment that’s planned over the next five years,” he said.

The Chicago company reported third-quarter operating earnings of $757 million ($0.83/share) compared with $676 million ($0.78/share) for the same period in 2014.

Exelon credited higher revenue from the company’s generation business, favorable weather in the Commonwealth Edison and PECO territories and lower storm costs for the Baltimore Gas and Electric territory. That was offset in part by higher contracting costs and interest payments on higher outstanding debt.

Crane highlighted three key initiatives for the year: PJM’s new Capacity Performance product; a legislative initiative to impose a customer surcharge to fund Illinois nuclear plants; and its proposed merger with Pepco Holdings Inc.

“For the 2018/2019 auction, we cleared a significant number of megawatts at higher priced zones, and these prices exceeded our own internal expectations,” he said. (See PJM Transition Auction Means Reprieve for Exelon Nukes.)

Regarding the legislation, which Exelon calls the Low Carbon Portfolio Standard, Crane expressed disappointment that more hadn’t been accomplished. However, he said, “The overall outlook for the nuclear fleet has improved as a result of policy and market factors, namely the constructive results of the capacity auction, the positive results from the Illinois Power Agency’s capacity procurement for 2016 and the long-term impact of the Environmental Protection Agency’s new carbon reduction rules.” (See Exelon-Backed Bill Proposes Surcharge to Fund Illinois Nukes.)

The proposed acquisition of PHI last week was revived by the D.C. Public Service Commission, which agreed to reconsider the deal after the companies submitted a proposed settlement reached with Mayor Muriel Bowser’s administration. (See related story, DC PSC Rulings Give Exelon-PHI Merger a Shot in the Arm.)

“The deal remains an important strategic element to the future of Exelon, allowing us to shift our business mix to a more regulated and durable earnings stream,” Crane said.

Utilities See Higher Earnings as Mich. Economy Rebounds

By Amanda Durish Cook

CMS Energy reported third-quarter net income of $148 million ($0.53/share), a 56% increase over a year earlier.

earningsFor the first nine months, CMS has netted $417 million ($1.51/share), up 9 cents/share from last year.

CMS said the results reflected its concentration on “reinvestments in its electric and natural gas operations, affordability and transitioning to cleaner energy sources.”

The Jackson, Mich., utility adjusted its 2015 guidance by a penny from $1.86 to $1.89/share to $1.87 to $1.89/share. 2016’s full-year guidance was introduced at $1.97 to $2.01/share. CMS boosted earnings per share 7% annually between 2010 and 2014.

Consumers Energy, CMS’ principal subsidiary, has reduced natural gas costs to their lowest levels since 2001, the company reported. CMS expects an average 15% reduction in bills for residential customers over the winter as a result of abundant supply and CMS’ $400 million investment over the last five years in its gas delivery and storage system. The company said it’s committed to doubling investments on its natural gas pipeline and storage system over the next decade.

The company said it is benefiting from a rebound in Michigan’s economy. The state’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 5% in September, the first time it has been below the U.S. average since 2000. Its GDP grew almost 14% between 2010 and 2014, the third highest in the nation behind only Texas and North Dakota.

CMS saw growth in its industrial customers in the quarter, with Chilean company Arauco announcing a new particle board manufacturing facility creating 250 jobs and General Motors adding 300 jobs as a result of expansion at its manufacturing facilities in Flint and Grand Rapids.

DTE Energy’s Profits Rise with Milder Weather

earningsDTE Energy reported third-quarter earnings of $265 million ($1.47/share), a 70% increase from 2014’s $156 million ($0.88/share).

The Detroit utility said its higher earnings were due “to a return to a more normal level of weather and storm activity.”

DTE’s operating earnings, which exclude non-recurring items, certain mark-to-market adjustments and discontinued operations, were $252 million ($1.40/share) for the quarter, up 39% from the $181 million ($1.02/share) a year earlier.

DTE has increased its 2015 operating earnings guidance to $4.65 to $4.91/share from $4.48 to $4.72.

“This move was driven by continued strong performance within our non-utility businesses, which provided us with the platform to increase our guidance for 2015,” CFO Peter Oleksiak said in a release.

In 2016, the company expects operating earnings of about $4.93/share, consistent with a predicted 5 to 6% growth rate.

“I am really pleased with our third-quarter financial results, but I am also really pleased with a number of other recent accomplishments by the company that are important to our state, as well as the communities and customers we serve,” CEO Gerry Anderson said.

earningsHe cited DTE’s role in adding 9,500 solar panels in Ann Arbor Township, Romulus and Ypsilanti, Mich., during the quarter and progress on its proposed NEXUS natural gas pipeline, a 250-mile project that would deliver 1.5 billion cubic feet per day from eastern Ohio to southeastern Michigan.

DTE and partner Spectra Energy expect to seek FERC approval for the project in the fourth quarter. The companies already have ordered the pipe and signed contracts for engineering, procurement, construction and project management.

DTE, which reported $1.7 billion in capital expenditures for the first three quarters, expects to spend a total of $2.5 billion for 2015, down from its previous guidance of $2.6 billion.

Xcel Q3 Earnings Rise, Exceed Expectations

By Tom Kleckner

xcelXcel Energy last week reported third-quarter earnings of $426 million, a 15% increase over 2014’s $369 million. Its earnings per share of 84 cents was 4 cents more than analyst projections.

Xcel, which operates in eight states, credited the results to several recent rate increases, its “ongoing, successful” regulatory initiatives and “continued cost management efforts.” The Minneapolis-based company said it resolved major regulatory proceedings in Colorado, Minnesota and San Diego and saw favorable legislation passed in Minnesota and Texas.

Xcel CEO Ben Fowke said the company is well positioned to meet the Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan, pointing to its recently filed Minnesota resource plan that reduces carbon emissions by 60% from 2005 levels by 2030.

Northern States Power, Xcel’s operating company in Minnesota, Wisconsin and the Dakotas, plans to be 63% carbon-free by that time by adding 1,800 MW of wind and 1,400 MW of utility-scale solar, building a 230-MW natural gas plant in North Dakota and replacing its two Sherco coal generators with a 780-MW combined-cycle plant on their Minnesota site. The plan also assumes the operation of the Monticello and Prairie Island nuclear plants through their license expirations in the early 2030s.

“This proposal will advance our shift to renewable energy, add cleaner natural gas-powered generation to our system and allow us to protect reliability, jobs and community investments,” Fowke said during a conference call Oct. 29.

Given the good news, Xcel tightened its 2015 earnings guidance range from $2 to $2.15/share to $2.05 to $2.15/share. It also stated its 2016 earnings guidance of $2.12-$2.27/share.

“We’re very confident of reaching our targets,” Fowke said.

Xcel shares, however, closed down 47 cents to $35.56 after the earnings call.

Fowke told analysts Xcel will seek rate increases in Minnesota for the next three years, taking advantage of a new state law that allows multiyear requests — and saving legal expenses in the process.

Fowke also said Xcel has transferred about $100 million worth of Kansas and Oklahoma transmission facilities (230 miles of 345-kV transmission and associated equipment) from its Southwestern Public Service affiliate to its independent transmission companies. Xcel last year created Xcel Energy Southwest Transmission and Xcel Energy Transmission Development to compete for FERC Order 1000 projects in SPP and MISO.

“We felt it was an opportune [time] to move those assets into one of our transcos,” Fowke said. “There’s some value to having actual assets inside a transco. It gives you more gravitas when we get to the Order 1000 bidding process.”