By Amanda Durish Cook
Middle America is falling behind other U.S. regions in the adoption of electric vehicles, but utilities could play a key role in turning that around, according to a group of industry leaders, government officials and automakers.
“We clearly are not anywhere near California in terms of adoption to date,” Great Plains Institute Vice President Brendan Jordan said of the MISO footprint during an interview with RTO Insider.
Jordan said the midcontinent region — the Midwestern states and those directly south of them — lacks state-by-state policies like a zero-emissions mandate on car sales or incentives that automakers refer to as “cash on the hood” that can reduce the cost of a new EV.
He pointed out that — for a time — Georgia had one of the highest rates of EV sales in the country because of a state policy that offered a $5,000 tax credit. Sales in the state dropped sharply when Georgia ended the program in 2015.
Jordan’s views are backed by findings in an April white paper from the Midcontinent Transportation Electrification Collaborative (M-TEC), a joint effort of GPI and ChargeUp Midwest. The group comprises more than two dozen state government representatives; electric utilities and cooperatives; charging companies; environmental organizations; and automakers General Motors and Nissan.
The group’s aim: to increase EV use and infrastructure and decarbonize the transportation sector. It says that with some grid transformation, meeting EV demand could concurrently benefit utility customers, the economy and the environment.
But the MISO footprint — along with Ohio — currently has inadequate charging infrastructure to support widespread EV adoption, the white paper contends.
“The midcontinent region is falling behind other regions and falling behind what analysis indicates is needed in preparing for increased EV adoption. … Adequate public charging is a prerequisite for increased EV adoption as cited by numerous studies that establish a connection between EV adoption and adequate charging infrastructure,” M-TEC said.
Utilities Need to Lead
ExxonMobil estimates about 100 million EVs will be in use worldwide by 2040; Bloomberg puts that figure at 530 million. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory recently predicted that about 600,000 charging plugs will be needed to support about 15 million EVs in the U.S., with 400 DC fast-charge stations needed along interstates for long-distance travel.
Jordan said utilities should take the lead in encouraging adoption when states elect not to create incentives.
“Some investment from utilities might help adoption,” he said.
Utilities can provide education and outreach, monetary assistance for charging and reduced rates for charging times, Jordan said.
And he thinks that while states’ roles in stimulating EV purchases should not be ignored, utilities are positioned to act today, a sentiment echoed in the white paper.
“We’re not saying that states won’t or shouldn’t take action. Obviously, states should take action. We wanted to separate out that role that utilities can play independent of state policy,” Jordan said. “I think the point is the utilities don’t need to wait around for states to take action. There are moves they can make that are good for the environment and good for their customers. They shouldn’t wait around for states to take the lead.”
That’s not to say midcontinent utilities are completely inactive on the EV front. Earlier this month, DTE Energy filed a $328 million rate request with the Michigan Public Service Commission that includes a $13 million pilot program for EV charging stations, while Consumers Energy also recently proposed a $7.5 million EV pilot program.
AEP Ohio’s $10 million EV pilot program won approval from the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio in April, and Xcel Energy that month also rolled out a revised charge-at-home pilot program for 100 customers after gaining approval from the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission. Madison Gas and Electric also maintains charge-at-home pilot program where customers can have a car charger installed for a $20 monthly fee.
While private charging companies and automakers’ public stations should exist, Jordan said the reality is most EV charging will be done at the residential level.
“Charging on a public station at a fast-charge station while on a road trip isn’t a big part of use, but it will be critical,” Jordan said. “The fact is that 90 or 95% of charging is going to take place at home.
“I don’t think anyone is saying that utilities should make all those investments, but the fact is that there’s a gap there,” he said. Jordan pointed out that up to 15% of each state’s settlement from the Volkswagen emissions scandal can be spent on light-duty EV infrastructure, and Minnesota has already issued a request for proposals for DC fast-charging stations using its Volkswagen settlement funds.
Taming Load
Electric demand from EV charging could boost sluggish load growth, M-TEC says. “Transportation electrification is a huge part of that,” Jordan added.
Jordan thinks EVs can absorb MISO’s abundant nighttime wind generation. The M-TEC white paper argues EV adoption would only minimally increase the daily system peak, and that the controllable nature of EVs can over time can flatten the load curve and increase overall system efficiency.
“I think, generally speaking, there needs to be programs in place to control when charging takes place,” Jordan said. “At high levels of EV adoption, you can make a real observable difference in the load curve.”
The white paper points out that multiple studies from consulting firm M.J. Bradley project that additional utility revenues from EV charging will likely exceed the cost to supply the demand, putting downward pressure on utility rates.
Jordan also says interested consumers don’t have to wait until the later 2020s to purchase EVs, when costs are expected to fall into parity with traditional vehicles.
“I would argue that regular folks can afford some form of EV today,” he said, adding that used EVs are becoming more available as leases are turned in. Operations and maintenance are much cheaper over the life of the car despite a high upfront cost, he added.
Jordan also said EV fuel costs tend to be spent locally because they draw from a local electric source. “You can power a car on electricity a lot cheaper than you can power it on fuel or diesel,” he added.
Decarbonized Everything
With the white paper published, the group will now focus on modeling a completely decarbonized transportation system in the midcontinent to show it is economically feasible. Jordan said the modeling will be completed this fall.
Meanwhile, the group will hold a one-day conference July 24 to reveal a plan to completely decarbonize the electric sector by 2050.
“Step 1 is electric sector decarbonization and step 2 is transportation decarbonization,” Jordan explained.
He also said GPI and Midcontinent Power Sector Collaborative are in the process of raising money to model decarbonized buildings, industry and agriculture.
“We plan to model the entire [decarbonized] economy eventually,” Jordan said.